Categories
Geoeingeering United States of America

September 20, 2023 – Geo-engineering or (well, and) die

Two years ago, on this day, September 20th, 2023,

Billionaire investor Chris Sacca yesterday said that spraying particles into the Earth’s atmosphere to reflect the sun’s rays and slow global warming may now be the only way to save humanity.

Why it matters: The Lowercarbon Capital founder has helped turn a fringe idea into one now attracting serious attention.

Driving the news: “We have no opportunity for survival on this planet unless you reflect back sunlight,” Sacca said at a summit in New York City organized by venture capital firm Equal Ventures.

“If we don’t do it as a species, it’s all over.”

Climate: 🧂 Sacca gets salty

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 421ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was the rich have always loved geo-engineering, because it sidelines questions of justice (it doesn’t really, but in the short term it does) and appeals to their messiah/god complexes.

The specific context was that the COP process was obviously dead (again) and the “well, let’s Hail Mary” this was in the air. 

What I think we can learn from this is that rich people are not necessarily smarter than anyone else.  May even become dumber by the time they’ve surrounded themselves with sycophants, if they weren’t at the start.

What happened next – the geo-engineering debate bubbles on, much like the methane in the clathrates.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

Also on this day: 

September 20, 1848 – the AAAS is born… – All Our Yesterdays

September 20, 1893 – first American-made gasoline-powered car hits the road.

September 20, 1982 – “Carbon Dioxide, Science and Consensus” event – All Our Yesterdays

September 20, 2013 – CCS project mothballed/killed.

Categories
Uncategorized

September 19, 1991 – Ötzi the Iceman is discovered by German tourists

On this day 34 years ago, Otzi was discovered…

Ötzi, also called The Iceman, is the natural mummy of a man who lived between 3350 and 3105 BC. Ötzi’s remains were discovered on 19 September 1991, in the Ötztal Alps (hence the nickname “Ötzi”, German: [œtsi]) at the Austria–Italy border. He is Europe’s oldest known natural human mummy, offering an unprecedented view of Chalcolithic (Copper Age) Europeans.

Because of the presence of an arrowhead embedded in his left shoulder and various other wounds, researchers believe that Ötzi was killed by another person. The nature of his life and the circumstances of his death are the subject of much investigation and speculation. His remains and personal belongings are on exhibit at the South Tyrol Museum of Archaeology in Bolzano, South Tyrol, Italy.

Ötzi – Wikipedia

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 355ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was that we have been putting rather large amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere for a couple of hundred years.

The specific context was that by the 1980s it was obvious that the Swiss/Italian/Austrian Alps were beginning to melt…

What I think we can learn from this – carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas (who knew?).

What happened next

We kept putting carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

Also on this day: 

September 19 1969 – ABC Radio warns listeners about carbon dioxide – All Our Yesterdays

September 19, 1997 – John Howard condemns the South Pacific to hell. Again.

September 19, 1998 – Public Health Association calls for “life-saving green taxes”

Categories
Australia

September 18, 2013 – Abbott’s wrecking ball starts swinging

Twelve years ago, on this day, September 18th, 2013,

2013 – Dismantling of four climate change programs begins and climate change functions moved into Department of Environment:

• The government begins drafting legislation to repeal the Clean Energy Act 2011

• The government abolishes the Climate Commission

• Treasurer orders the CEFC to cease investments

• Environment Minister announces plans to abolish the CCA

A new Department of the Environment deals with matters that include renewable energy target policy, regulation and co-ordination; greenhouse emissions and energy consumption reporting; climate change adaptation strategy and co-ordination; co-ordination of climate change science activities; renewable energy; greenhouse gas abatement programmes; and community and household climate action. See also – https://www.smh.com.au/national/you-bastards-sacked-me-when-the-climate-sceptics-arrived-20200626-p556nn.html

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 397ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was from 2006 to 2012 Australian political elites had engaged in a truly astonishing bloody soap opera over the extremely modest (and entirely inadequate) carbon pricing scheme (scheme in every sense).  Tony Abbott, who became Opposition Leader in late 2009 was a brutally effective wrecking ball, supported to the hilt by the Murdoch media. 

The specific context was that Abbot had handily won the 2013 election, and was now about to show that “good government starts today.”

What I think we can learn from this.  Abbott isn’t worth sending to the Hague. He’d simply plead stupidity and the prosecution would have to admit that it was an ironclad defence.

What happened next Abbott was a farcically incompetent Prime Minister, on Boris Johnson levels. Anyone who knew anything about humans could see it coming.  The Murdoch media goons did not.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

Also on this day: 

September 18, 2004 – Australian States back ETS plan – All Our Yesterdays

September 18, 2013 – Greenpeace try to occupy the “Arctic Sunrise.”

September 18, 2013 – Feeble denialists launch feeble denialist “report”

Categories
Australia

September 17, 1992 – Paul Keating versus climate action (spoiler: Keating wins)

Thirty three years ago, on this day, September 17th, 1992,

Paul Keating does not like carrying out Bob Hawke’s ideas, like the ESD strategies which is one reason nothing has happened since the ESD groups made their reports last November. He also wants to gain green votes without upsetting the business world, and at a meeting in Canberra last Thursday [17th] with green and business lobbies, he listed the government’s new high-priority environment issues, says our Press Gallery reporter.

They don’t include mining or the logging of native forests, which split the community, but they do include: Soil degradation, industrial waste reduction and disposal, air and water quality, the urban environment, feral animals, marine protection and land and water management.

The green and business lobbies told us after the meeting that they were unhappy that Paul had nothing firm to offer them on ESD except the promise of a strategy in November (believed to be part of an Environment Statement) although it was better late than never.

Luker, P. 1992. Things I hear. Greenweek, September 22, p.2.

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 356ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was that, as Treasurer, Paul Keating had been one of the most effective delayers of climate action, reducing ambition, kicking the issue towards groups that could be guaranteed to gum up the works.

The specific context was that Keating had become Prime Minister in late 1991, toppling Bob Hawke. He then was the only OECD leader not to turn up to the Earth Summit in Rio, and was allowing Federal bureaucrats to shit all over the Ecologically Sustainable Development program.

What I think we can learn from this is that we can get a BOGOF deal for air tickets to the Hague (one way) for Keating and Howard. Just saying.

What happened next – the Australian policy elite have persisted in being depraved planet-slaughering psychopaths ever since.  And that is me being generous.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

Also on this day: 

September 17, 1954 – nuclear electricity will be too cheap to meter – All Our Yesterdays

September 17, 1969 – trying to spin Vietnam, Moynihan starts warning about #climate change

September 17, 1987 – report on “The Greenhouse Project” launch

September 17, 2002 – UK Government announces feasibility study into Carbon Capture and Storage

Categories
Australia

September 17, 1980 – Canberra Times reports “fossil fuels changing climate”

Forty five  years ago, on this day, September 17th, 1980, the Canberra Times ran a story on page 7 “Fossil fuels changing climate.”  Read it and weep.

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 339ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was that in various places (I can speak for the US, UK, Germany) research was underway and far-sighted politicians were beginning to worry. In 1977 the Canberra Times had a page 5 story “Cities “could be flooded”. While the First World Climate Conference hadn’t delivered a particularly strong statement, nonetheless, concern was there.

The specific context was that CSIRO scientists had been beavering away. One of them, Graeme Pearman, had been involved in 1977 in various studies in the US and Europe, and had returned and held a seminar. The Australian Academy of Science and others had sponsored a workshop on Phillip Island in November 1978.

What I think we can learn from this – don’t expect governments of societies built on extraction and export to be enthused when you tell them that there is trouble ahead if they don’t change their ways.

What happened next

They were not enthused. They did not, in fact, change their ways. The trouble is arriving.  But it’s early early days of the Fafocene.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

Also on this day: 

September 17, 1954 – nuclear electricity will be too cheap to meter – All Our Yesterdays

September 17, 1969 – trying to spin Vietnam, Moynihan starts warning about #climate change

September 17, 1987 – report on “The Greenhouse Project” launch

September 17, 2002 – UK Government announces feasibility study into Carbon Capture and Storage

Categories
United States of America

September 17, 1978 – National Climate Program Act

Forty seven years ago, on this day, September 17th, 1978,

17 Sept 1978 Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That this Act may be cited as the “National Climate Program Act”

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 335ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was that there had been efforts, since about 1974 iirc, to beef up Federal support for/co-ordination of climate research (n.b. At this point carbon dioxide was only one of many different matters of concern).

The specific context was Various tenacious politicians kept on the case, despite repeated failures (George Brown etc).

What I think we can learn from this

Science requires funding and leadership. What happens when you have neither? Well, we’re finding out.

What happened next

By 1979 it was pretty clear to the smarter people in the room that the carbon dioxide build-up was the problem to watch.  The politicians took a decade to convince.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

Also on this day: 

September 17, 1954 – nuclear electricity will be too cheap to meter – All Our Yesterdays

September 17, 1969 – trying to spin Vietnam, Moynihan starts warning about #climate change

September 17, 1987 – report on “The Greenhouse Project” launch

September 17, 2002 – UK Government announces feasibility study into Carbon Capture and Storage

Categories
Denial

Neo-liberal intelligence is about NOT joining the dots

Short post, because actual work I should be doing.

We all know the story of the Emperor’s New Clothes – some conmen tell the Emperor the new clothes can only be seen by those with discernment and refinement. The Emperor is naked, everybody can see it, but have the ability/discipline to not convert what they see into knowledge.

It’s quite a talent, to be that obedient and willing to go along with the patently absurd.

The “neo-liberal” in the title is not strictly accurate, of course, because positivism and obedience is ancient and seen in all the isms. Stalinism had Lysenko, etc etc. But I use it for now because, well, we live under neoliberalism, since the early 1980s really, which is a Long Time.

All this is because an impact and action denialist commented on a Bsky post yesterday. I had made the point that our leaders had been warned about carbon dioxide build-up and its impacts over and over, for decades.

There was some one-and-a-half (not quite “to”, you see) and fro as he kept moving the goalposts. I pointed out that he was picking one metric (“well-being”) and other metrics were possible, such as ocean acidification and biodiversity loss.

He replied with this

I screengrabbed it simply because it was objectively hilarious.

Anyway, this was pretty much the final straw and because he was also setting up strawmen and claiming I had said things I hadn’t, I pulled the plug.

The point is this. There are “smart” (been to the right universities, got the right credentials) people who are “successful” who are incapable (beyond merely unwilling, I think) to join the dots, because to join the dots would crush their cosmology. If you say the Emperor is naked, you are cast out, and you also have to cope with the humiliation of your previous stupidity/wilful blindness. “Awks.”

This is not a new observation, and having written this, I am embarrassed for having wasted my time and your bandwidth on it.

Categories
Ozone United Nations

September 16, 1994 – International Day for the Preservation of the Ozone Layer

Thirty one years ago, on this day, September 16th, 1994,

Sept 16, 1994 – Montreal Protocol – To commemorate the signing of the Montreal Protocol on September 16, 1994, the United Nations General Assembly declared September 16 as International Day for the Preservation of the Ozone Layer. Since then every year September 16 has been dedicated to the importance of preserving the protective ozone layer.

The ozone layer is a naturally occurring high concentration of ozone chemicals between 15 and 30 kilometers above the Earth’s surface (stratosphere). It covers the entire planet. By absorbing the sun’s harmful ultraviolet-B (UV-B) radiation, it forms an effective shield from the sun, protecting living organisms on earth from excessive UV-B radiation, which is found to cause cancer, cataracts, genetic damage and immune system suppression.

https://green-forum.ec.europa.eu/green-business/emas/international-day-preservation-ozone-layer_en

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 359ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was there had been concerns about CFCs and their impact on ozone since the early 1970s. Things moved along sharply after the “hole” was discovered in the mid-1980s.  

The specific context was that the first COP was coming up, and I guess everyone hoped the same magic would rub off. But there were a few companies that made CFCs, and these companies were able to switch to similar other products, and get paid handsomely to do so. With carbon dioxide, it’s a little bit more complicated. 

What I think we can learn from this: A false analogy with a hopey-changey hook can blind you to what the actual challenge is.

What happened next  The ozone is recovering, says the UNEP. The carbon dioxide build up? Yeah, let’s talk about something else.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

Also on this day: 

September 16, 1969 – Aussies warned about carbon dioxide build-up by top scientist – All Our Yesterdays

September 16, 1969 – Nobel-prize winning Australian scientist warns about carbon dioxide build-up. Yes, 1969

September 16, 2015 – Turns out big companies are ‘climate hypocrites’?

Categories
Academia Activism Documentaries Fafocene

On documentaries, delusions and doom: Why we get what we get, what we need and why we won’t get it.

The new “Just Stop Oil” documentary is (yet) another missed opportunity to get an important conversation started about social movements, our crises and complicities, and what needs to change.


Early on in “The Line We Crossed” the new and overlong documentary following a group of Just Stop Oil activists as they slow march their way around London in 2023, one of them says “context is massively important.” He’s referring to defences in criminal cases for obstruction and the like, but it occurred to me that this very much applies to the film.  It was only ten minutes or so in, but already my forebodings were proving true. There was no context whatsoever, not even as far back as 2018, when Extinction Rebellion (it got one scant mention) burst onto the scene, promising to force the government to make the UK zero carbon by 2025.

There was no explanation of what climate change IS and what is causing it (we’ll come back to my encounter with a taxi driver on my way home, in another post.).

There was no context about the way the British state acts when it…

Look, I could go on for a loooong time about the failings of this film (in its defence, it’s mostly competently made, and doesn’t pretend to be anything it isn’t). I don’t have the energy, patience or inclination to write all that, you don’t have those to read all that, and it will come across as patriarchal bullying if I do. 

So instead, I want to see this film as a symptom of a much much wider problem (previously I’ve used words like Smugosphere and Emotacycle – they may get a run below).

I am going to try to answer a few questions about what social movements (made up of individuals, groups, NGOs etc) need, (don’t) get and ways forward. The list of questions is here –

  • What is it that we get (from documentaries, but also books etc) again and again. And again.
    WHY do we get that (beyond morality tales about laziness/complicity etc)
  • Why does that matter?
  • What do we need?
  • Why don’t we get it?
  • (Bonus – ignore if you’re so inclined) Why it wouldn’t matter, even if we did get it.
  • What is to be done?

I have tackled (ranted) about this before.

What we get time and again – “hooray for our side”

What a field day for the heat.

A thousand people in the street,

Singing songs and carrying signs,

Mostly say, “Hooray for our side.”

Buffalo Springfield “For What It’s Worth”

I’ve been in/around environmental protest/dissent/resistance most of my adult life; the first time I can say I was properly involved was the late 1990s.  I say this not for brownie points, or claims of expertise, but just to point out that if you stick around long enough, you see the same film pop up again and again. The title and participants change, but the song remains the same.

I saw it around the time of Indymedia, I saw it as the 2006-2010 wave wound down (“Just Do It”). It was there during fracking (have tried to expunge that one, and am not inclined to go looking). It was there during the beginning of the “youth strike” – “Meet the Wild Things” and “The Giants.

What these (and other films) have in common is that they are largely cheap, unreflective decontextualised hagiography (= “the making of saints”), following individuals or individuals-within-a-group as they “try to make a difference.”

Why we get that 

Here’s where I need to not get personal (!), or rather, engage in the Fundamental Attribution Error.  These films aren’t the way they are because of any personal failings/perspectives of the film-makers (whom I’ve not met).

We also need to get away from cheap/easy cynicism that the documentaries are what they are because they are planned only a recruiting tool (though they often arrive too late for that, and in the case of TLWC, wouldn’t work on multiple levels) or that they are merely CV points for the film maker.

We need to think in terms of systems, incentives, pressures (understood and ‘invisible’). Here’s a non-exhaustive list

  • Film-makers need for access to present and future subjects, and if word gets around that they are “neutral” or “questioning” they will be lumped in with the mass media, which, by and large is quite rightly mistrusted/loathed.
  • Film-makers also have a need for “hope” as a narrative
  • Film-makers need to keep funders happy (especially an issue around crowdfunding, I’d guess, but also foundations don’t like their hands bitten when they are feeding).

Ultimately, for a host of reasons – psychological, social, financial etc – hopey-changey hagiography is path of least resistance. It is what everyone expects, and what almost everyone wants most/all of the time (I am an outlier, I know, “But I’m not the only one. I hope someday you’ll…”)

Why does that matter?

“Not everything that can be faced can be changed, but nothing can be changed until it is faced.”

James Baldwin, 1962

We are in the shit.  We have no idea what we are into here. When “the greenhouse effect” finally became a public issue in 1988, atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide were roughly 352 parts per million.  Emissions spiralled upwards since then (roughly 70% higher than they were then) and atmospheric concentrations are now at 428ppm and surging annually.) 
Most importantly for my purposes, the simple fact is that civil society has been mostly asleep at the wheel, until it is jolted into periodic half-wakefulness by brave and determined activists who demand action. Then, for various reasons, the “issue attention cycle” kicks in, the activists burn out and lick their wounds and prison sentences, technophilia reasserts itself and almost everyone goes back to sleep. 

So what we need is individuals and groups who are able to see this pattern, and prepare for it, and sustain themselves. I wrote about this here, in 2017.

Hagiography, where you spend far more time than you need to in the company of naive well-meaning people who learn tough lessons in the strategic and tactical capacity of the states and corporations is not helping.  There is an argument to be made that – beyond the taking-up-of-bandwidth problem – it is actually harmful, but I am not going to go there today.

What we need

What we need is, therefore “sense-making”

Sensemaking or sense-making is the process by which people give meaning to their collective experiences. It has been defined as “the ongoing retrospective development of plausible images that rationalize what people are doing” (Weick, Sutcliffe, & Obstfeld, 2005, p. 409). The concept was introduced to organizational studies by Karl E. Weick in the late 1960’s and has affected both theory and practice. 

We need cognitive maps so people know where they are, what the stakes are, what has and hasn’t ‘worked’ in the past, etc etc.

I will use TLWC as an example, but again, it is not uniquely inadequate, it’s merely the latest (and for me last) example of the genre.

We need films that explain, in simple terms, what climate change is (the duvet analogy works really well, in my experience). If you can find an actual climate scientist willing to say it, all the better, but they’ll probably fear for their precious reputation and “trivialising” the science. That’s just them bowing to the institutional pressure within their tribe. Mostly, they can’t help themselves. So it goes.

We need films that explain what the state (British in this case) actually IS and what it is FOR and what it has DONE historically to those people who organise to try to get it to do something other than protect the perceived short-term interests of the people who run the State/who are protected by the state.

People think the state is Santa Claus – a kindly old gent who will reward you if you can prove that you have been good for long enough. Documentaries like TLWC don’t do anything about this, ah, “misapprehension.” There is a glancing reference to the suffragettes, but nothing on how the State mobilised to demonise and punish those activists. If the JSo crew knew the history of the suffragettes, beyond Pankhurst #1 and #2 and perhaps Emily Davison, then they wouldn’t have been so surprised as they were by the end of the film (actually, I missed the last few minutes – a bus to catch).

TLWC could have done even a brief job on the flurry of laws passed in the aftermath of the Napoleonic Wars, as the social consequences of the Industrial Revolution began to kick in.  It could have talked about Spycops (an astonishing oversight) and the Prevention of Terrorism Act 2000. It could have…  Note, I am NOT saying you have to go into exhaustive detail, but “context is massively important.”

We need films that include supportive critical voices – people who are equally concerned about “The Issue”, but disagree with the particular tactics (or “strategy” if you’re being unduly generous) being pursued.

I can’t believe I am typing this, because I am one of the most cynical people I know on the role and function of academics, but even I would – through gritted teeth – admit that some of them do have something to add and if you film say an hour you might get as much as 45 seconds of useable material out of them.  Get them talking about the history, the politics, the nature of social movements, the nature of issue-attention cycles etc etc etc.

Basically, making an entire film out of a-roll and (quite a lot of) b-roll of activists “on the ground” is cloying, claustrophobic and senseless-making.  TLWC had only a handful of “outsiders” – Suella Braverman, Jocelyn Maugham, someone from Liberty and a semi-outsider, Tim from Defend Our Juries. 

We need films that ask activists to expound on some of the challenges – pushback from family and friends (and how they handle it), how they deal with hostility from the General Public (there’s footage in TLWC of an enraged motorist snatching banners and smacking mobiles out of activists hands. I am not saying he was right, or that he should necessarily be given “air time” to explain his views, but how about at least getting the JSO people to reflect on that?)

We need films (and groups) to talk about why people don’t stay involved (and they largely don’t, through little/no fault of their own. The way organisations are, they’re basically decruitment engines.  Irony – at least three people in the audience gave up on the film before I had to leave).

Why we won’t get it (see also “why we get that” above)

The kind of film I am talking about is not going to get made (though I would be genuinely delighted to be proved wrong – have at me in the comments.

Basically, in these late days of late capitalism, at the beginning of (the rich Westerner bit of, anyway) the Fafocene, we are clinging to hope and the idea that social movement are bold entrepreneurs with power much as Linus clings to his security blanket in Peanuts – it’s a classic transitional object, rather like transition theory itself.

To put it in blunt terms – nobody likes Debbie Downers, buzzkills. Nobody is happy if you piss on their chips if chips is all they have to eat. 

For psychological, cognitive, social and financial reasons, hagiography is easier and safer.

These documentaries are the equivalent of the stage-managed top down meeting where those in the cliques talk and preen but nothing gets achieved, and those came in the hope of getting information, opportunities for connection and action or all of the above slink out and are never seen again. 

Bonus (skip if you like – fmdidgad)

Why it wouldn’t matter even if we did get it

Beyond the temporal factor – these documentaries usually appear too late anyway even to be “recruiting tools” – there are deeper problems. The streets have emptied

“We” don’t have the absorptive capacity to take on new ideas, new numbers (of people who can’t get arrested, who can’t drop everything for The Cause).

We are prisoners of our pasts – as the adage goes, past performance is the best indicator of past performance, and our past performance sucks; decades of failure

There’s a (not very good) film adaptation of Graham Greene’s novel  “The Honorary Consul.” In it, there’s a prison breakout and someone who was held below ground for ages comes out, blinking in the harsh sun.  If he had legged it straight away, he might have avoided the guard’s bullets.  But he simply doesn’t have the capacity. He has been a prisoner too long and… You can tell I need to wrap this up, can’t you? I’ll do a post about the taxi-driver and me another day. Perhaps – it’s mostly about the efficacy of the duvet analogy, anyway.

The Ways Forward (my heart isn’t in this)

If civil society were going to get up on its hind legs it would have done so by now. I have used the line “the time to stamp on the brakes is before the bus goes off the cliff. Once it has you can stamp that pedal all you like, but it won’t change the outcome. And moving ripped up seat foam to the front in the hope of softening impact is fine to keep you busy, but, well, see above…

However, I said there were be a “ways forward” bit. So here it is. But it’s based on some “ifs…”

IF we had spaces where people could meet free from commercial and surveillance imperatives

IF we had norms around the design and facilitation of meetings that were enforceable, and (collectively) enforced so that issues were properly and thoroughly aired, and the meetings not dominated by the most high status within the subculture, by the most confident etc…

IF we had a universal basic income so more people had bandwidth to even have the time and energy to participate in civil society/social movements activity

IF we had states (local, national) that were responsive to popular pressure in meaningful ways (NB Santa Claus model)

IF we understood, collectively, the planet-wide catastrophes that are hoving into view as the consequences of a demented model of growth and a mismeasure of what is “sustainable”

And

IF we had giant machines that could cost-free suck billions of tonnes of carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere and store them safely, bringing atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide back to, say, 350ppm

Well, in that case….

I still don’t see how we can survive.

Further reading I couldn’t be bothered to hyperlink within this above

Extinction Rebellion says ‘we quit’ – why radical eco-activism has a short shelf life

JSO – why are you trashing your brand for pennies?

Just Stop Oil – anthropologically fascinating but politically terrifying | manchester climate monthly

Dear ‘new’ #climate activist. Unsolicited advice, #oldfartclimateadvice

Cher, incentive structures and our inevitable doom

Has Extinction Rebellion got the right tactics? | New Internationalist

From the book of Roger | manchester climate monthly  (This one I am quite fond of, proud of)

Categories
Antarctica Interviews

Interview with Mauri Pelto, glaciologist

Bluesky is becoming a home away from the HellSite for scientists. I recently “met” Mauri Pelto, whose bio describes himself thus –

Glaciologist who has spent 40+ years doing fieldwork on glaciers. Science advisor to NASA Earth. US Representative to the World Glacier Monitoring Service. Author of blog “From a Glaciers Perspective”. Grandparent, avid skier, dog walk/runner.

His googlescholar profile is here.

He kindly agreed to an email interview, and here it is.

  1. A little bit about you – who you are, where you were educated, “why glaciology”? I began working on glaciers in Alaska during the summer of 1981. The initial goal as to cross country ski in the summer to help me qualify for the US Ski Team. This worked, but I chose grad school instead in 1984 enrolling at the University of Maine. I designed the North Cascade Glacier Climate Project as a 50 year field project to monitor glaciers across the range. This was in response to a high priority of the National Academy of Sciences in 1983. At the time the USGS monitored a single glacier in several different ranges, and with the Reagan budget cuts was not going to be able to expand. The glaciers are all in Wilderness areas precluding the use of mechanized equipment and requiring backpacking to access. I chose not to seek federal funding and have financed the project with consulting work.

2. How and when you first heard about the issue of carbon dioxide build-up (presumably in your undergraduate degree?)

Terry Hughes was my advisor, he was very knowledgeable about ice sheets, while all my experience and insights were on alpine glaciers. I had a chance to work on Pine Island and Thwaites Glacier projects in 1985 and Jakobshavn Glacier in 1986. We , the glaciologic community understood these locations were key places where profound change was going to happen and set up projects to begin monitoring.

 In ice cave under Sholes Glacier

3. John Mercer wrote a famous (well, it’s all relative) paper for Nature, in January 1978 – do you recall reading it? Had you met him by then? Any recollections? I met John Mercer before meeting Terry Hughes. He had worked in Patagonia and Alaska areas I was more experienced with. I sought his guidance along with William O. Field about where to set up a project. He was not overly helpful.

4. Terry Hughes wrote a paper in 1980 about the “soft underbelly of the West AIS” – again, how did you know Terry, any recollections? I worked with Terry for four-years the first year working most of the time in his office with him. I finished my Masters and then PhD as quickly as possible in 1989. He was a brilliant, iconoclastic person.

On Mount Baker with my daughter Jill who co-directs the project with me now

5. How, from your perspective, has glaciology changed as a discipline over the years you’ve been involved (e.g. fleshing out the bsky comment)

I had a chance to address the glaciology community at the 100th anniversary AGU meeting in Washington DC in 2019. I pointed out that thirty five years prior all the glaciologists in the world could have fit in this room, that now held only as many people ~300 as worked on just the Helheim Glacier for example. This rapid increase in number of glaciologists was due unfortunately to the dire necessity that climate change posed for the cryosphere. That we need everyone of you to focus on what you do well and monitor, observe, develop and model that. That this generation of scientists was embracing collaboration instead of competition. This is why I have for 20 years incorporated artists in our research expeditions. Note below. I continue to work in the field every summer and with NASA on projects like the one published today.

https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/154764/alaskas-brand-new-island https://www.cbsnews.com/video/capturing-the-melting-of-glaciers-with-data-and-art/