Categories
Australia

July 2, 2007 – Australia learns it has been left “High & Dry” on #climate change

On this day, 2nd July 2007, the highly-principled Guy Pearse (not the actor) released his brilliant book “High and Dry”.

“A Liberal Party member and former ministerial speechwriter issues a book today which depicts the Prime Minister with a stranglehold on environmental policy, deliberately surrounding himself with climate change sceptics.”

Rudra, N. 2007. Liberal attacks PM on climate. Canberra TImes, 2 July.

The problem was that High and Dry was soon “outdated,” when the Liberals were swept from office in late 2007.  Pearse wrote a cracking Quarterly Essay about what Labor was up to, published in 2009.

HOWEVER the book is well-written, well-researched and gives you names and tactics of the “Greenhouse Mafia.

The book still stands as an example of how you

  1. Do a PhD
  2. Turn a PhD into a book (a different beast)
  3. Make an impact, behave with integrity.

Why this matters. 

Names are named, repertoires exposed. This is how you are supposed to do intellectual work.

What happened next?

Pearse kept writing about this for quite a while.

Categories
United States of America

July 1, 1950 – “Is the World Getting Warmer?” asks Saturday Evening Post

On this day, 1st July 1950, the US publication the Saturday Evening Post ran a story on the world … getting warmer. Nowt on carbon dioxide (at this stage, Guy Callendar’s data were largely ignored/in the doghouse).

Why it matters

People were attuned to some warming (even though at this stage it was relatively mild)

What happened next?

By the end of the decade the answer was “yes” and “carbon dioxide is in fact accumulating in the atmosphere.” It would be another decade before enough scientists started to say it to each other, and do more research, before the real fun started…

Categories
Science

July 1, 1957- A key “year” in climate science begins…

On this day, July 1st, 1957, the “International Geophysical Year” (actually 18 months!) began.  Sponsored jointly by WMO and the International Council for Scientific Unions (ICSU),  30,000 scientists from more than 1000 research stations in sixty-six countries participated. (source – Page 22 Paterson, M (1996))

Why this matters. 

People were already interested in carbon dioxide build-up, and it was with funding earmarked for the IGY that senior American scientist Roger Revelle was able to hire a young post-doc called Charles David Keeling to take absurdly accurate measurements of atmospheric C02. Within two years (by early 1960) Keeling had ended the debate about whether – as per Guy Callendar – C02 was in fact climbing.

And so a data set was born

What happened next?

The carbon dioxide. It kept climbing, because humans kept burning more and more fossil fuels. Some more than others. Like there was “no tomorrow.”

To read: Walter Sullivan  Assault on the Unknown

Categories
Guest post

Guest post – “Why Our Evolutionary Roots Can Inspire Us to Address the Climate Crisis” by @adventuwe

By: Hayven Rakotoarimanana (they/them), MS

Midsummer–the two weeks following the northern hemisphere’s summer solstice (June 21)–has traditionally been a time of celebration and festival for those living in Northern Europe, parts of North America, and Northeast Asia.These northern, temperate areas laud this season’s warm temperatures and long, often sunny days. However, in South Asia, Madagascar, and parts of East Africa, this time of year marks the beginning of monsoon season, where lifegiving rains replenish the ground, parched after the long dry season.

Unfortunately, the South Asian-East African monsoon has become unreliable in recent years, fueled by anthropogenic global warming. In 2021, India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh suffered one of the worst droughts in recorded history, as warmer ocean temperatures forced the seasonal monsoonal gyre to the south. The drought was most intense in Nagaland and Assam, in northeast India, along with Odisha and Rajasthan in western India. In these places rainfall during the 2021 monsoon season measured less than 50 percent of normal totals, marking this as an exceptional drought (Shagun 2021). This drought devastated crop production, creating a famine that killed thousands of people.

A year later, in 2022, an increase in the monsoon rains (which arrived months ahead of schedule) caused a deluge across South Asia and central China, causing widespread flooding that caused significant damage to life and property. The rain damage was worst in Henan, China, where more than 300 people died and roads transformed into rivers, sending cars careening down flooded streets into homes and businesses.

These erratic tendencies in the monsoons across Asia and East Africa are likely to increase with anthropogenic climate change, according to a recent study by researchers from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (Katzenberger, Schewe, Pongratz, & Leverman 2021). Practically, this means that the coming decades will see an increase in natural disasters, floods, and famines. This not only impacts the region’s human populations, who will experience more climate-related poverty, suffering, and death, but it will also decimate the environment and non-human animal populations, many of whom are endemic and already close to extinction.

How did we get here?

The origins of the current climate crisis lie much further back than the disasters of the past two years, or even the last century or the Industrial Revolution. The roots go back much deeper, to humanity’s fundamental relationship with the rest of Nature.

For most of Homo sapiens 300,000-year history, the species lived much like other animals do: relying on the land and what it provided for survival–food, shelter, health, connection. Population levels remained in a natural balance, with births and deaths remaining roughly equivalent, allowing for long-term resource sustainability. The vast majority of human history, in all parts of the world, was one spent in harmony with nature. There was no anthropocene, since humans did not have the ability to dominate nature in a way similar to societies today.

This began to change with the advent of agriculture approximately 12,500 years ago. Farming freed humans from reliance on natural resources for survival; they could grow their own food, trap and exploit other animals, and store resources for tough times. Domestic dogs aided in hunting and defense, leading to a surplus in meat-based food. In addition, the domestication of horses and camels gave humans easy, fast transportation (at the expense of animal suffering).

The changes brought by this agricultural revolution allowed humankind to develop a number of new innovations: writing, codified religions, cities, pyramids, irrigation systems, weapons, transportation systems, and market economies. These were the catalyst for a new relationship between humanity and (the rest of) nature: Homo sapiens was no longer just one species living on the bounty of the planet, but an overlord, exploiting the land for personal and collective gain. In the mind of most post-agricultural humans, the Earth stopped being that which sustained life, and became a mere resource to be used.

It is this attitude–which became even more pronounced with the industrial revolution and the rise of modern capitalism–that drives the anti-environmental, growth-at-any-cost ethos behind the climate crisis. 

Remember your roots to save the planet

Although our species was most in tune with the Earth before the rise of agriculture, industry, and modern economics, no one is suggesting that we return to a Stone Age lifestyle. So what can we do to address climate change, in light of current technological and social conditions?

-Stop having kids. Remember that, for the vast majority of human history, net population growth was zero. Having one fewer child reduces your personal emissions rate by 60 tons of carbon dioxide per year (Perkins 2017). National policies which disincentivize reproduction, especially in countries such as India, where population growth is most severe, would be greatly effective at curbing emissions and climate change.

-Go vegan. Modern animal agriculture is one of the largest contributors to carbon emissions. Switching to a plant-based diet reduces personal carbon dioxide emissions by one ton per year (Perkins 2017). On a societal level, phasing out animal agriculture has a much larger impact, reducing carbon emissions by 68 percent annually (Than 2022).

-Consume only what you need. Today’s throwaway consumer lifestyle, which is common in the West and now booming across the Global South, is a major contributing factor to carbon emissions and global warming. Growing food, knitting clothes, and collecting rainwater can have a small impact on an individual level, and a larger one on a societal level. Taking a cue from our ancestors and letting the Earth provide as much of your food, clothing, and shelter as possible disconnects us from the exploitative-capitalist cycle, and allows us to appreciate nature as a sustainer, rather than a mere resource.

What do you think? Let us know in the comments!

Categories
United States of America

June 30, 2008 – Judge stops a coal-burning power plant getting built.

On this day, June 30 2008, lawfare worked. 

Thelma Wyatt Cummings Moore, a Fulton County (Georgia) Superior Court judge, on 30 June 2008, blocked construction of the first coal-burning power plant proposed in Georgia in more than 20 years, ruling that it must limit emissions of carbon dioxide. This was the first time that a court had applied an April 2007 ruling of the US Supreme Court recognizing that carbon dioxide is a pollutant under the federal Clean Air Act to an industrial source.

(Johansson, 2015: 83) [EcoHustle!)

See also here.

Why this matters

“The law” is an interesting construct, isn’t it?  Sometimes the power of its words force those running the show onto the back foot, at least for a while.

“They make the laws, to chain us well [the clergy dazzle us with heaven, or they damn us into hell]”.

What happened next?

The plant, Longleaf, never got built – as part of a quid pro quo with the Sierra Club, something else did, in Texas. The atmosphere definitely noticed the difference, oh yes.

Categories
International processes Japan

June 29, 1979 – G7 says climate change matters. Yes, 1979.

On this day, June 1979, the declaration at the end of the G7 Meeting in Tokyo contained this gem.

3. We pledge our countries to increase as far as possible coal use, production, and trade, without damage to the environment. We will endeavor to substitute coal for oil in the industrial and electrical sectors, encourage the improvement of coal transport, maintain positive attitudes toward investment for coal projects, pledge not to interrupt coal trade under long-term contracts unless required to do so by a national emergency, and maintain, by measures which do not obstruct coal imports, those levels of domestic coal production which are desirable for reasons of energy, regional and social policy. “We need to expand alternative sources of energy, especially those which will help to prevent further pollution, particularly increases of carbon dioxide and sulphur oxides in the atmosphere.” http://www.g7.utoronto.ca/summit/1979tokyo/communique.html

The G7 had started in the mid-70s, initially as a one-off meeting hosted by the French. Everyone was in a panic about the economy (stagflation), the uppityness (and yes, I mean that – freighted with all the horrors of white supremacism) of people of colour in the Majority World, and also the unruliness of the locals (strikes etc).

Why this matters. 

Promises been going on a long time, haven’t they?

What happened next?

Climate was not there on the agenda in Venice 1980, and once Reagan came in, that was it – it would be another ten years before the G7 pretended to be green.

Categories
Energy United Kingdom

June 28,1982 – Secretary of State for Energy justifies flogging off public assets

On this day, June 28 1982 (40 years ago today) Nigel Lawson, as Secretary of State for Energy in the first government of Margaret Thatcher, gave a “landmark speech” on energy policy to the International Association of Energy Economists. I can’t find a copy of it online. Ho hum.

According to Amber Rudd, speaking more recently (18 November 2015, since you asked) –

In his seminal speech in 1982, he defined the Government’s role as setting a framework that would ensure the market, rather than the state, provided secure, cost-efficient energy.

This was driven by a desire to create a system where competition worked for families and businesses.

“The changes in prospect,” said Lawson at the time, “will help us ensure that the supplies of fuel we need are available at the lowest practicable cost.”

So, what did these fine words mean? Publicly-owned assets were flogged off and some people got even richer.

Planning became impossible. It was all “fine” (not really, but looked it to some) until we needed to think long-term and strategically about what kind of fuel sources we used to get how much energy and for what purposes. Because privately owned companies are going to want to sell more of their product, not less. This is not rocket-science.

Why this matters. 

Well, that period – late 70s, early 80s, , was probably our last best chance to do anything meaningful about climate change. Oh well.

What happened next?

With energy policy? Ha ha ha ha ha.  

We now (April 2022) have an “Energy Security Strategy” that doesn’t mention demand reduction, energy efficiency, on-shore wind. Instead it goes Full Fantasy on nuclear, CCS and hydrogen.  

Epic thread by Michael Jacobs, that ends thus –

We’re deep in the magical thinking phase, aren’t we?

Nigel Lawson? You many know him from the esteemed Global Warming Policy Foundation.

Categories
Australia Denial

June 27, 2000 – crazy but well-connected #climate denialists schmooze politicians

On this day in 2000, the beserk but effective “Lavoisier Group” of  Australian climate denialists schmoozed senior politicians (former Treasurer Peter Walsh, an ALP thumper, probably set this up).

The Lavoisier Group (named for a French chemist, because these groups are always – somewhat pathetically – trying to bolster their cred and signal their, ah, “erudition”) had been formed as a radical flank effort to try to stiffen John Howard’s resolve in keeping Australia from ratifying the Kyoto Protocol.  (Australia had, by various means, gotten a sweet sweet deal of an emissions “reduction” target of [checks notes] … a 10% INCREASE in emissions – see Clive Hamilton on this.]

“Last year, the Lavoisier Group held meetings around the country, including a June 27 dinner for a select group of federal parliamentarians in the House of Representatives’ dining room.”  

Jim Green (2001)  Corporate greed behind US dumping of greenhouse treaty, Green Left Weekly, April 4

Why this matters. 

Small groups of determined and well-connected people who are going to help other people stay rich can be surprisingly effective in blocking things. Who knew.

What happened next?

Lavoisier kept on being effective for as long as Howard was PM (though things got trickier for them by 2006 or so). They were an important building block for the climate denial “movement” that flourished from 2009 or so through to 2013 or so. They are still, bless them, publishing their idiocies.

Categories
Australia

June 26, 1991 “environment is not flavor of the month any more”

On this day, June 26 in 1991, Australian journalist Maria Taylor gave a good example of how the wave of climate concern that had begun in 1988/9 was ending.(they always do).

STATE OF THE WORLD 1991. A Worldwatch Institute Report on Progress Toward a Sustainable Society. Allen and Unwin. $19.95.

Reviewer: MARIA TAYLOR

A SYDNEY marketing man and sometime advisor to the environmental movement told me recently that these days it’s hard to sell business on sponsoring environmental projects because “environment is not the flavour of the month any more”.

While sheer survival may top many a corporate agenda at the moment, it’s still a breathtakingly quaint notion to suppose that “the environment” is a media beat-up begun a year or so ago and now about run its course.

The implication is that just as soon as we can get the economy to behave again, it will be back to business as usual. A lot of people also believe in fairy tales….

Taylor, M. 1991. Heads in the sand over the environment. Canberra Times, 26 June, p.8.

Why this matters

The “Issue Attention Cycle” is a thing. You can think it is stupid, but that doesn’t change its thing-ness, and your need to think carefully about what you do within it to be able to keep doing things after it.

What happened next?

Maria Taylor wrote a PhD thesis. A good one It became this book: Global warming and climate change: what Australia knew and buried. You can read it here

She has a website here.

Categories
Carbon Capture and Storage Technophilia

June 25, 2002, 2003 and 2008 – CCS’s first hype cycle builds

On this day, June 25, across 6 years, we can watch a technology emerge from obscurity (see June 4 for how an issue goes through an arc).

Carbon capture and storage is the proposal to stop carbon dioxide molecules, released when you burn a hydrocarbon (oil, coal or gas), from getting into the atmosphere. I could go on, but I won’t…

On this day in 2002 the UK Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) held an “ Improved Oil Recovery” Research Seminar.

Then, a  year later the US, EU, 12 countries agreed to develop carbon capture technologies” – the grandly named “Carbon Sequestration Leadership Forum” became a thing.

Then, five years after that, with CCS very high up the agenda in the UK,  a Shell-sponsored CCS supplement turned up in the Guardian  containing 14-articles, all focusing on CCS. Page 234 of Mander et al (2013)

Why this matters. 

Technologies build up a head of, erm, steam. Or they don’t. It takes time for things to emerge. Then they work, or they don’t, or they do something else.

What happened next?

CCS? It went away. Then it came back, as fantasies do.