Categories
Denial

Neo-liberal intelligence is about NOT joining the dots

Short post, because actual work I should be doing.

We all know the story of the Emperor’s New Clothes – some conmen tell the Emperor the new clothes can only be seen by those with discernment and refinement. The Emperor is naked, everybody can see it, but have the ability/discipline to not convert what they see into knowledge.

It’s quite a talent, to be that obedient and willing to go along with the patently absurd.

The “neo-liberal” in the title is not strictly accurate, of course, because positivism and obedience is ancient and seen in all the isms. Stalinism had Lysenko, etc etc. But I use it for now because, well, we live under neoliberalism, since the early 1980s really, which is a Long Time.

All this is because an impact and action denialist commented on a Bsky post yesterday. I had made the point that our leaders had been warned about carbon dioxide build-up and its impacts over and over, for decades.

There was some one-and-a-half (not quite “to”, you see) and fro as he kept moving the goalposts. I pointed out that he was picking one metric (“well-being”) and other metrics were possible, such as ocean acidification and biodiversity loss.

He replied with this

I screengrabbed it simply because it was objectively hilarious.

Anyway, this was pretty much the final straw and because he was also setting up strawmen and claiming I had said things I hadn’t, I pulled the plug.

The point is this. There are “smart” (been to the right universities, got the right credentials) people who are “successful” who are incapable (beyond merely unwilling, I think) to join the dots, because to join the dots would crush their cosmology. If you say the Emperor is naked, you are cast out, and you also have to cope with the humiliation of your previous stupidity/wilful blindness. “Awks.”

This is not a new observation, and having written this, I am embarrassed for having wasted my time and your bandwidth on it.

Categories
Ozone United Nations

September 16, 1994 – International Day for the Preservation of the Ozone Layer

Thirty one years ago, on this day, September 16th, 1994,

Sept 16, 1994 – Montreal Protocol – To commemorate the signing of the Montreal Protocol on September 16, 1994, the United Nations General Assembly declared September 16 as International Day for the Preservation of the Ozone Layer. Since then every year September 16 has been dedicated to the importance of preserving the protective ozone layer.

The ozone layer is a naturally occurring high concentration of ozone chemicals between 15 and 30 kilometers above the Earth’s surface (stratosphere). It covers the entire planet. By absorbing the sun’s harmful ultraviolet-B (UV-B) radiation, it forms an effective shield from the sun, protecting living organisms on earth from excessive UV-B radiation, which is found to cause cancer, cataracts, genetic damage and immune system suppression.

https://green-forum.ec.europa.eu/green-business/emas/international-day-preservation-ozone-layer_en

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 359ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was there had been concerns about CFCs and their impact on ozone since the early 1970s. Things moved along sharply after the “hole” was discovered in the mid-1980s.  

The specific context was that the first COP was coming up, and I guess everyone hoped the same magic would rub off. But there were a few companies that made CFCs, and these companies were able to switch to similar other products, and get paid handsomely to do so. With carbon dioxide, it’s a little bit more complicated. 

What I think we can learn from this: A false analogy with a hopey-changey hook can blind you to what the actual challenge is.

What happened next  The ozone is recovering, says the UNEP. The carbon dioxide build up? Yeah, let’s talk about something else.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

Also on this day: 

September 16, 1969 – Aussies warned about carbon dioxide build-up by top scientist – All Our Yesterdays

September 16, 1969 – Nobel-prize winning Australian scientist warns about carbon dioxide build-up. Yes, 1969

September 16, 2015 – Turns out big companies are ‘climate hypocrites’?

Categories
Academia Activism Documentaries Fafocene

On documentaries, delusions and doom: Why we get what we get, what we need and why we won’t get it.

The new “Just Stop Oil” documentary is (yet) another missed opportunity to get an important conversation started about social movements, our crises and complicities, and what needs to change.


Early on in “The Line We Crossed” the new and overlong documentary following a group of Just Stop Oil activists as they slow march their way around London in 2023, one of them says “context is massively important.” He’s referring to defences in criminal cases for obstruction and the like, but it occurred to me that this very much applies to the film.  It was only ten minutes or so in, but already my forebodings were proving true. There was no context whatsoever, not even as far back as 2018, when Extinction Rebellion (it got one scant mention) burst onto the scene, promising to force the government to make the UK zero carbon by 2025.

There was no explanation of what climate change IS and what is causing it (we’ll come back to my encounter with a taxi driver on my way home, in another post.).

There was no context about the way the British state acts when it…

Look, I could go on for a loooong time about the failings of this film (in its defence, it’s mostly competently made, and doesn’t pretend to be anything it isn’t). I don’t have the energy, patience or inclination to write all that, you don’t have those to read all that, and it will come across as patriarchal bullying if I do. 

So instead, I want to see this film as a symptom of a much much wider problem (previously I’ve used words like Smugosphere and Emotacycle – they may get a run below).

I am going to try to answer a few questions about what social movements (made up of individuals, groups, NGOs etc) need, (don’t) get and ways forward. The list of questions is here –

  • What is it that we get (from documentaries, but also books etc) again and again. And again.
    WHY do we get that (beyond morality tales about laziness/complicity etc)
  • Why does that matter?
  • What do we need?
  • Why don’t we get it?
  • (Bonus – ignore if you’re so inclined) Why it wouldn’t matter, even if we did get it.
  • What is to be done?

I have tackled (ranted) about this before.

What we get time and again – “hooray for our side”

What a field day for the heat.

A thousand people in the street,

Singing songs and carrying signs,

Mostly say, “Hooray for our side.”

Buffalo Springfield “For What It’s Worth”

I’ve been in/around environmental protest/dissent/resistance most of my adult life; the first time I can say I was properly involved was the late 1990s.  I say this not for brownie points, or claims of expertise, but just to point out that if you stick around long enough, you see the same film pop up again and again. The title and participants change, but the song remains the same.

I saw it around the time of Indymedia, I saw it as the 2006-2010 wave wound down (“Just Do It”). It was there during fracking (have tried to expunge that one, and am not inclined to go looking). It was there during the beginning of the “youth strike” – “Meet the Wild Things” and “The Giants.

What these (and other films) have in common is that they are largely cheap, unreflective decontextualised hagiography (= “the making of saints”), following individuals or individuals-within-a-group as they “try to make a difference.”

Why we get that 

Here’s where I need to not get personal (!), or rather, engage in the Fundamental Attribution Error.  These films aren’t the way they are because of any personal failings/perspectives of the film-makers (whom I’ve not met).

We also need to get away from cheap/easy cynicism that the documentaries are what they are because they are planned only a recruiting tool (though they often arrive too late for that, and in the case of TLWC, wouldn’t work on multiple levels) or that they are merely CV points for the film maker.

We need to think in terms of systems, incentives, pressures (understood and ‘invisible’). Here’s a non-exhaustive list

  • Film-makers need for access to present and future subjects, and if word gets around that they are “neutral” or “questioning” they will be lumped in with the mass media, which, by and large is quite rightly mistrusted/loathed.
  • Film-makers also have a need for “hope” as a narrative
  • Film-makers need to keep funders happy (especially an issue around crowdfunding, I’d guess, but also foundations don’t like their hands bitten when they are feeding).

Ultimately, for a host of reasons – psychological, social, financial etc – hopey-changey hagiography is path of least resistance. It is what everyone expects, and what almost everyone wants most/all of the time (I am an outlier, I know, “But I’m not the only one. I hope someday you’ll…”)

Why does that matter?

“Not everything that can be faced can be changed, but nothing can be changed until it is faced.”

James Baldwin, 1962

We are in the shit.  We have no idea what we are into here. When “the greenhouse effect” finally became a public issue in 1988, atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide were roughly 352 parts per million.  Emissions spiralled upwards since then (roughly 70% higher than they were then) and atmospheric concentrations are now at 428ppm and surging annually.) 
Most importantly for my purposes, the simple fact is that civil society has been mostly asleep at the wheel, until it is jolted into periodic half-wakefulness by brave and determined activists who demand action. Then, for various reasons, the “issue attention cycle” kicks in, the activists burn out and lick their wounds and prison sentences, technophilia reasserts itself and almost everyone goes back to sleep. 

So what we need is individuals and groups who are able to see this pattern, and prepare for it, and sustain themselves. I wrote about this here, in 2017.

Hagiography, where you spend far more time than you need to in the company of naive well-meaning people who learn tough lessons in the strategic and tactical capacity of the states and corporations is not helping.  There is an argument to be made that – beyond the taking-up-of-bandwidth problem – it is actually harmful, but I am not going to go there today.

What we need

What we need is, therefore “sense-making”

Sensemaking or sense-making is the process by which people give meaning to their collective experiences. It has been defined as “the ongoing retrospective development of plausible images that rationalize what people are doing” (Weick, Sutcliffe, & Obstfeld, 2005, p. 409). The concept was introduced to organizational studies by Karl E. Weick in the late 1960’s and has affected both theory and practice. 

We need cognitive maps so people know where they are, what the stakes are, what has and hasn’t ‘worked’ in the past, etc etc.

I will use TLWC as an example, but again, it is not uniquely inadequate, it’s merely the latest (and for me last) example of the genre.

We need films that explain, in simple terms, what climate change is (the duvet analogy works really well, in my experience). If you can find an actual climate scientist willing to say it, all the better, but they’ll probably fear for their precious reputation and “trivialising” the science. That’s just them bowing to the institutional pressure within their tribe. Mostly, they can’t help themselves. So it goes.

We need films that explain what the state (British in this case) actually IS and what it is FOR and what it has DONE historically to those people who organise to try to get it to do something other than protect the perceived short-term interests of the people who run the State/who are protected by the state.

People think the state is Santa Claus – a kindly old gent who will reward you if you can prove that you have been good for long enough. Documentaries like TLWC don’t do anything about this, ah, “misapprehension.” There is a glancing reference to the suffragettes, but nothing on how the State mobilised to demonise and punish those activists. If the JSo crew knew the history of the suffragettes, beyond Pankhurst #1 and #2 and perhaps Emily Davison, then they wouldn’t have been so surprised as they were by the end of the film (actually, I missed the last few minutes – a bus to catch).

TLWC could have done even a brief job on the flurry of laws passed in the aftermath of the Napoleonic Wars, as the social consequences of the Industrial Revolution began to kick in.  It could have talked about Spycops (an astonishing oversight) and the Prevention of Terrorism Act 2000. It could have…  Note, I am NOT saying you have to go into exhaustive detail, but “context is massively important.”

We need films that include supportive critical voices – people who are equally concerned about “The Issue”, but disagree with the particular tactics (or “strategy” if you’re being unduly generous) being pursued.

I can’t believe I am typing this, because I am one of the most cynical people I know on the role and function of academics, but even I would – through gritted teeth – admit that some of them do have something to add and if you film say an hour you might get as much as 45 seconds of useable material out of them.  Get them talking about the history, the politics, the nature of social movements, the nature of issue-attention cycles etc etc etc.

Basically, making an entire film out of a-roll and (quite a lot of) b-roll of activists “on the ground” is cloying, claustrophobic and senseless-making.  TLWC had only a handful of “outsiders” – Suella Braverman, Jocelyn Maugham, someone from Liberty and a semi-outsider, Tim from Defend Our Juries. 

We need films that ask activists to expound on some of the challenges – pushback from family and friends (and how they handle it), how they deal with hostility from the General Public (there’s footage in TLWC of an enraged motorist snatching banners and smacking mobiles out of activists hands. I am not saying he was right, or that he should necessarily be given “air time” to explain his views, but how about at least getting the JSO people to reflect on that?)

We need films (and groups) to talk about why people don’t stay involved (and they largely don’t, through little/no fault of their own. The way organisations are, they’re basically decruitment engines.  Irony – at least three people in the audience gave up on the film before I had to leave).

Why we won’t get it (see also “why we get that” above)

The kind of film I am talking about is not going to get made (though I would be genuinely delighted to be proved wrong – have at me in the comments.

Basically, in these late days of late capitalism, at the beginning of (the rich Westerner bit of, anyway) the Fafocene, we are clinging to hope and the idea that social movement are bold entrepreneurs with power much as Linus clings to his security blanket in Peanuts – it’s a classic transitional object, rather like transition theory itself.

To put it in blunt terms – nobody likes Debbie Downers, buzzkills. Nobody is happy if you piss on their chips if chips is all they have to eat. 

For psychological, cognitive, social and financial reasons, hagiography is easier and safer.

These documentaries are the equivalent of the stage-managed top down meeting where those in the cliques talk and preen but nothing gets achieved, and those came in the hope of getting information, opportunities for connection and action or all of the above slink out and are never seen again. 

Bonus (skip if you like – fmdidgad)

Why it wouldn’t matter even if we did get it

Beyond the temporal factor – these documentaries usually appear too late anyway even to be “recruiting tools” – there are deeper problems. The streets have emptied

“We” don’t have the absorptive capacity to take on new ideas, new numbers (of people who can’t get arrested, who can’t drop everything for The Cause).

We are prisoners of our pasts – as the adage goes, past performance is the best indicator of past performance, and our past performance sucks; decades of failure

There’s a (not very good) film adaptation of Graham Greene’s novel  “The Honorary Consul.” In it, there’s a prison breakout and someone who was held below ground for ages comes out, blinking in the harsh sun.  If he had legged it straight away, he might have avoided the guard’s bullets.  But he simply doesn’t have the capacity. He has been a prisoner too long and… You can tell I need to wrap this up, can’t you? I’ll do a post about the taxi-driver and me another day. Perhaps – it’s mostly about the efficacy of the duvet analogy, anyway.

The Ways Forward (my heart isn’t in this)

If civil society were going to get up on its hind legs it would have done so by now. I have used the line “the time to stamp on the brakes is before the bus goes off the cliff. Once it has you can stamp that pedal all you like, but it won’t change the outcome. And moving ripped up seat foam to the front in the hope of softening impact is fine to keep you busy, but, well, see above…

However, I said there were be a “ways forward” bit. So here it is. But it’s based on some “ifs…”

IF we had spaces where people could meet free from commercial and surveillance imperatives

IF we had norms around the design and facilitation of meetings that were enforceable, and (collectively) enforced so that issues were properly and thoroughly aired, and the meetings not dominated by the most high status within the subculture, by the most confident etc…

IF we had a universal basic income so more people had bandwidth to even have the time and energy to participate in civil society/social movements activity

IF we had states (local, national) that were responsive to popular pressure in meaningful ways (NB Santa Claus model)

IF we understood, collectively, the planet-wide catastrophes that are hoving into view as the consequences of a demented model of growth and a mismeasure of what is “sustainable”

And

IF we had giant machines that could cost-free suck billions of tonnes of carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere and store them safely, bringing atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide back to, say, 350ppm

Well, in that case….

I still don’t see how we can survive.

Further reading I couldn’t be bothered to hyperlink within this above

Extinction Rebellion says ‘we quit’ – why radical eco-activism has a short shelf life

JSO – why are you trashing your brand for pennies?

Just Stop Oil – anthropologically fascinating but politically terrifying | manchester climate monthly

Dear ‘new’ #climate activist. Unsolicited advice, #oldfartclimateadvice

Cher, incentive structures and our inevitable doom

Has Extinction Rebellion got the right tactics? | New Internationalist

From the book of Roger | manchester climate monthly  (This one I am quite fond of, proud of)

Categories
Antarctica Interviews

Interview with Mauri Pelto, glaciologist

Bluesky is becoming a home away from the HellSite for scientists. I recently “met” Mauri Pelto, whose bio describes himself thus –

Glaciologist who has spent 40+ years doing fieldwork on glaciers. Science advisor to NASA Earth. US Representative to the World Glacier Monitoring Service. Author of blog “From a Glaciers Perspective”. Grandparent, avid skier, dog walk/runner.

His googlescholar profile is here.

He kindly agreed to an email interview, and here it is.

  1. A little bit about you – who you are, where you were educated, “why glaciology”? I began working on glaciers in Alaska during the summer of 1981. The initial goal as to cross country ski in the summer to help me qualify for the US Ski Team. This worked, but I chose grad school instead in 1984 enrolling at the University of Maine. I designed the North Cascade Glacier Climate Project as a 50 year field project to monitor glaciers across the range. This was in response to a high priority of the National Academy of Sciences in 1983. At the time the USGS monitored a single glacier in several different ranges, and with the Reagan budget cuts was not going to be able to expand. The glaciers are all in Wilderness areas precluding the use of mechanized equipment and requiring backpacking to access. I chose not to seek federal funding and have financed the project with consulting work.

2. How and when you first heard about the issue of carbon dioxide build-up (presumably in your undergraduate degree?)

Terry Hughes was my advisor, he was very knowledgeable about ice sheets, while all my experience and insights were on alpine glaciers. I had a chance to work on Pine Island and Thwaites Glacier projects in 1985 and Jakobshavn Glacier in 1986. We , the glaciologic community understood these locations were key places where profound change was going to happen and set up projects to begin monitoring.

 In ice cave under Sholes Glacier

3. John Mercer wrote a famous (well, it’s all relative) paper for Nature, in January 1978 – do you recall reading it? Had you met him by then? Any recollections? I met John Mercer before meeting Terry Hughes. He had worked in Patagonia and Alaska areas I was more experienced with. I sought his guidance along with William O. Field about where to set up a project. He was not overly helpful.

4. Terry Hughes wrote a paper in 1980 about the “soft underbelly of the West AIS” – again, how did you know Terry, any recollections? I worked with Terry for four-years the first year working most of the time in his office with him. I finished my Masters and then PhD as quickly as possible in 1989. He was a brilliant, iconoclastic person.

On Mount Baker with my daughter Jill who co-directs the project with me now

5. How, from your perspective, has glaciology changed as a discipline over the years you’ve been involved (e.g. fleshing out the bsky comment)

I had a chance to address the glaciology community at the 100th anniversary AGU meeting in Washington DC in 2019. I pointed out that thirty five years prior all the glaciologists in the world could have fit in this room, that now held only as many people ~300 as worked on just the Helheim Glacier for example. This rapid increase in number of glaciologists was due unfortunately to the dire necessity that climate change posed for the cryosphere. That we need everyone of you to focus on what you do well and monitor, observe, develop and model that. That this generation of scientists was embracing collaboration instead of competition. This is why I have for 20 years incorporated artists in our research expeditions. Note below. I continue to work in the field every summer and with NASA on projects like the one published today.

https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/154764/alaskas-brand-new-island https://www.cbsnews.com/video/capturing-the-melting-of-glaciers-with-data-and-art/

    Categories
    Cultural responses United States of America

    September 15,1990 – Captain Planet launches

    Thirty five years ago, on this day, September 15th, 1990, 

    The first episode of “Captain Planet and the Planeteers” was broadcast.

    Captain Planet and the Planeteers, commonly referred to as simply Captain Planet, is an American animated environmentalist superhero television series created by Barbara Pyle and Ted Turner[1] and developed by Pyle, Nicholas Boxer, Thom Beers, Andy Heyward, Robby London, Bob Forward, and Cassandra Schafausen. The series was produced by Turner Program Services and DIC Enterprises and broadcast on TBS and in syndication from September 15, 1990, to December 5, 1992

    The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 354ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

    The broader context was we’ve got to propagandise the young about how The System cares and can be fixed to solve whatever the problem seems to be. There are vast indoctrination efforts going on, all the time.

    The specific context was that Ted Turner was then married to Jane Fonda, who switched him on to environmental issues. 

    What I think we can learn from this is that the efforts at getting the kids riled up? Yeah, doesn’t last.

    What happened next

    There is a seriously hilarious spoof with Don Cheadle.

    What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

    References

    King, D. L. (1994). Captain Planet and the Planeteers: Kids, environmental crisis, and competing narratives of the new world order. Sociological Quarterly, 35(1), 103-120.

    Also on this day: 

    September 15, 1948 – Biologist Evelyn Hutchinson mentions carbon dioxide build-up at an AAAS symposium.

    September 15, 1980 – Australian scientists hold “Carbon Dioxide and Climate” symposium in Canberra

    September 15, 1982/1990 – “Environmental Justice” is born. And so is Captain Planet…

    September 15, 1996 – A CCS posterchild is born: Sleipner Field comes online. – All Our Yesterdays

    September 15, 2008- business splits over what to extort from Rudd…

    Categories
    United Kingdom

    September 15, 1830 – Manchester-Liverpool railway opened

    One hundred and ninety five years ago, on this day, September 15th, 1830, 

    The Liverpool and Manchester Railway[1][2][3] (L&MR) was the first inter-city railway in the world.[4][i] It opened on 15 September 1830 between the Lancashire towns of Liverpool and Manchester in England.[4] It was also the first railway to rely exclusively on locomotives driven by steam power, with no horse-drawn traffic permitted at any time; the first to be entirely double track throughout its length; the first to have a true signalling system; the first to be fully timetabled; and the first to carry mail.

    Liverpool and Manchester Railway – Wikipedia

    The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 284ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

    The broader context was that poor bloody horses had been pulling wagons of coal along tracks for a while. Then someone had the bright idea of getting steam engines to do the work…

    The specific context was an MP got himself killed.

    What I think we can learn from this Is that we are a very inventive bunch of murder apes.

    What happened nextRailway mania”. And almost 200 years later, the English can’t even build a railway between London and Manchester. But we’re definitely going to build a huge CCS infrastructure. Sure we are.

    What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

    Also on this day: 

    September 15, 1948 – Biologist Evelyn Hutchinson mentions carbon dioxide build-up at an AAAS symposium.

    September 15, 1980 – Australian scientists hold “Carbon Dioxide and Climate” symposium in Canberra

    September 15, 1982/1990 – “Environmental Justice” is born. And so is Captain Planet…

    September 15, 1996 – A CCS posterchild is born: Sleipner Field comes online. – All Our Yesterdays

    September 15, 2008- business splits over what to extort from Rudd…

    Categories
    Australia South Paciific

    September 15, 2005 – “A Citizen’s Guide to Climate Refugees launched by FOE Australia”

    Twenty years ago, on this day, September 15th, 2005,

    Friends of the Earth Australia: A Citizen’s Guide to Climate Refugees – “While the Earth has always endured natural climate change variability, we are now facing the possibility of irreversible climate change in the near future. The increase of greenhouse gases in the Earth’s atmosphere from industrial processes has enhanced the natural greenhouse effect.”

    The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 380ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

    The broader context was the issue of climate refugees rocking up in Australia was not new – James Burke had talked about it in his 1989 documentary “After the Warming.”

    The specific context was that Friends of the Earth battles on, trying to get people to think about the uncomfortable issues.  2005 was before the ‘great awakening of late 2006-2007’ and it must have seemed pretty futile, but they persisted.

    What I think we can learn from this: You have to keep saying the truth.  Hardly anyone listens, but wasn’t it ever thus?

    What happened next

    Anthony Albanaese started wanging on about climate refugees in late 2006, as a way of cornering John Howard  (see my October last year stuff).

    What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

    References

    Xxx

    Also on this day: 

    September 15, 1948 – Biologist Evelyn Hutchinson mentions carbon dioxide build-up at an AAAS symposium.

    September 15, 1980 – Australian scientists hold “Carbon Dioxide and Climate” symposium in Canberra

    September 15, 1982/1990 – “Environmental Justice” is born. And so is Captain Planet…

    September 15, 1996 – A CCS posterchild is born: Sleipner Field comes online. – All Our Yesterdays

    September 15, 2008- business splits over what to extort from Rudd…

    Categories
    Australia

    September 14, 1991 – the Green Wave has receded….

    Thirty four years ago, on this day, September 14th, 1991,

    “In an article in the Good Weekend of September 14, Deirdre Macken produced much evidence from market research that public concern about the environment, and the public’s willingness to buy eco-friendly products, had subsided markedly since their surge in 1989.”

    Ross Gittins

    The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 356ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

    The broader context was that the first wave of global eco-concern (1969 to 1972 or so) had given us UNEP and also the “issue-attention cycle”.

    The specific context was that we were near/at the end of the public interest in/concern about the greenhouse effect etc. The media was covering it less – no new angles to be had.  These things then enter a kind of death-spiral.   

    What I think we can learn from this – creating organisations that can cope with this death-spiral, this “abeyance” is really tough. They become bureaucratic, soulless grant-grubbers, or they wink out of existence. There oughta be a third way…

    What happened next

    “The climate” did not burst back onto the scene in a big way until the end of 2006.  And then followed the pattern – by 2010 everyone was exhausted. But the 2010 election, and Prime Minister Gillard’s reliance on Independents and Greens, kept the policy window open…

    What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

    Also on this day: 

    September 14, 1993 – scientists suffer backlash (not outa thin air though)

    September 14, 1994 – Business told to brace for climate regulation/tax (which it then handily defeats) – All Our Yesterdays

    September 14, 2004 – Blair “shocked” by scientists warnings – “time is running out for tackling climate change”

    Categories
    United States of America

    September 13, 1856 – the game’s a Foote

    One hundred and sixty nine years ago, on this day, September 13th, 1856,

    Her article sparked interest and praise, notably in the 13 September issue of Scientific American magazine, in an article titled ‘Scientific ladies – experiments with condensed gases’: ‘Some have not only entertained, but expressed the mean idea, that women do not possess the strength of mind necessary for scientific investigation […] the experiments of Mrs Foote afford abundant evidence of the ability of woman to investigate any subject with originality and precision.’ https://www.chemistryworld.com/culture/eunice-foote-the-mother-of-climate-change/4011315.article#/

    And

    Scientific American 1856: Scientific Ladies - Experiments with Condensed Gases. | Hill Heat

    The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 285ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

    The broader context was that the 19th century was kinda exciting for “science” (new word, only just taking over from “natural philosophy”).

    The specific context was Eunice Foote was a campaigner for women’s suffrage, and a scientist.  

    What I think we can learn from this – we could have done better as a species, but, well, here we are…

    What happened next

    Foote’s work specifically on climate was forgotten, but then rediscovered by retired petroleum geologist Ray Sorenson. In January 2011, in the American Association of Petroleum Geologists‘ on-line journal Search and Discovery he had this article.-: “Eunice Foote’s Pioneering Research On CO2 And Climate Warming

    What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

    Also on this day: 

    September 13, 1661 – Fumifugium! – All Our Yesterdays

    September 13, 1976 – US news broadcast on ozone and climate.

    September 13, 1984 – unsettling Seattle workshop on sea level rise – All Our Yesterdays

    September 13, 1992/1994- Scientists traduced, ignored

    Categories
    Renewable energy United Nations

    September 12, 2023 – Gone with the wind

    Two years ago, on this day, September 12th, 2023,

    “No bids were received by offshore wind developers due to what companies said were unrealistically low prices.

    Afterwards, wind farm manufacturers said they held positive discussions with Claire Coutinho, the new Energy Security Secretary, but were left bewildered days later by a meeting with Graham Stuart, the Net Zero Minister, who appeared to play down the auction results.

    His comments during a meeting on Tuesday [12 September 2023] left some attendees unsure whether the Government was committed to addressing the issues in next year’s auction, multiple sources said. 

    Oliver, M. 2023. “Industry on hold after auction flop spooks developers. Sunday Telegraph, September 17”

    https://docs.google.com/document/d/1QLlam1rJWJ76VZ66kfh81SwlRhxeZwnO8BuxaJj7CxA/edit?usp=sharing

    The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 376ppm. As of 2025, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

    The broader context was that offshore wind was the accidental success story of UK renewable energy policy.  There was a de facto ban on on-shore wind, thanks to the government of David “cut the green crap” Cameron, so offshore began to look attractive….

    The specific context was that by this time two years ago (god it feels like forever) the Sunak government had decided that pissing on the environment might be a vote winner.

    What I think we can learn from this is that we are stumbling into some very nasty situations. With our eyes open. Oh well.

    What happened next

    There’s another auction – with results due in December or so (everything’s delayed at present).

    UK to Launch Seventh CfD Auction in August, Offshore Wind Has Its Own AR7 Timeline | Offshore Wind

    Here’s Reform’s Richard Tice on the latest auction

    What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

    Also on this day: 

    September 12, 1958 – Letter in The Times about … carbon dioxide build-up

    September 12, 1994 – Greenpeace lays into Keating government over climate failure – All Our Yesterdays

     September 12, 2003 – Newcastle Herald thinks the future of coal looks ‘cleaner’…