Categories
Academia Activism Cultural responses

HAARPing on about the weather: of conspiracies, climate, class and ‘what is to be done’

If you only  have time to read one article that will piss you off in a good way, but not two things, skip mine below and read this instead;

Bear, N. 2024. How Covid Broke Reality. Don’t Panic, October 11.

Still here?  Okay, thanks for the vote of confidence.

Now. Read this [link].  Ideally out loud. Ideally twice.  Then stop and think about what that would feel like.

Want some more? From some Brits who only moved to the States a couple of years ago? The BBC can oblige. Here you go

If you need a dose of vicarious misery pornography, and the Middle East doesn’t do it for you (wrong colour people, wrong languages etc) then Mother Nature and the 24hr news beast can provide. Endless photos, horror stories. Here comes the 21st century.

And of course, as you will also know if you’ve been following this even cursorily, there are just tons of “conspiracy theories” doing the rounds, and a lot (no, I mean a LOT) of articles, tweets about that. Which is what I am here to write about.  

The articles include these three, which are both worth your time 

The first two (I’ve added the Heglar upon finding it, on Oct 13) are very focussed – as journalists and pundits often are – on the recent past. Not so many of them make the obvious points (reasons of space, and focus and time and so on) that

  1. There is – how shall we put this? – a Paranoid Style In American Politics. Has been for a while.
  2. Since the 1950s the military was SERIOUSLY interested in weather as a weapon and this was a VERY public thing (front page of the New York Times). 

See here (Hudson, 2022. )

There is a good book by Jason Rodger Fleming (2012) on all this, called Fixing the Sky.  The cover art is from a 1950s magazine article, and you can see it in this All Our Yesterdays tile.

As late as the end of the Vietnam War, this shit was very very public (Operation Popeye, much?) (Hudson, 2024).

3. There have been stories about people controlling the weather for, well, since humans began telling the stories. Gods would do it and then their self-appointed ‘ambassadors’ on earth would (claim to do it).  It’s a standard sci-fi trope. The two examples below are among MANY. I chose them because 

a) They’re from the mid-1970s, when ALL sorts of anxieties were knocking about (the seeming end of prosperity, cheap oil, the American empire, the emergence of climate threats etc).

b) I have read them both and loved them, since watching Geostorm.  My article (Hudson, 2017) on that disaster film includes LOTS of examples of weather control films, and some excellent observations from a ‘sci-fi tragic’ friend I am seeing tomorrow, for the first time in far too long.

c) The covers are mint.

And these novels were inspired by things like HAARP – 

“High-frequency Active Auroral Research Program, a US government-funded program that studies the ionosphere” [Wikipedia].

Not to haarp on about it…

4. People can have a hard time separating stories they have heard a lot from “reality”  (like, you know, bearded sky gods who take a personal interest in whose and what type of genitals an individual is rubbing their own genitals against).  

Also, have we all forgotten Donald F – sorry, ‘J’ –  Trump and his sharpie?  The Dorian-Alabama thing in 2019, aka Sharpiegate.  Have we?

Philosophical interlude

What did we do in response to the pain we can’t imagine? And the ‘stupidity’ we are sure we are better than?  We – some of the best among us – reported and commented on what was happening without offering historical, political, psychological context. Blinded by our fear of what is already here, and what it presages.

@ElizKolbert ·Oct 9

Conspiracy theories about weather manipulation are, unfortunately, the logical next step in climate denialism, and the traction they are getting shows how hard it is to get out of this absurdly terrifying loop.

and

George Monbiot

@GeorgeMonbiot

I know we shouldn’t expect consistency from conspiracy fantasists, but seeing people claim that “human beings can’t possibly alter the climate” AND “human beings are causing hurricanes with cloud seeding/chemtrails/Jewish space lasers” suggests we really are doomed as a species.

I can hear the objections, that I am being unfair to these (good) thinkers and misunderstanding the limits of a limited social media platform. SO I say, calmly and quietly, the following.

YES I KNOW THESE ARE TWEETS BUT THERE ARE SUCH THINGS AS 

  1. Twitter threads
  2. Blogs and columns you write and then tweet about to your tens/hundreds of thousands of followers so they are not merely confirmed in their fear/disdain, but forced to think.

And the rest of us?  We do like to the mock the Jewish Space Laser people. (I understand that impulse, and give into it most of the time)

And we push the stupidity narrative.

And we framed the problem as (only) stupidity. And not our stupidity.

I will say this several times in the rest of this rant.  The stupidity narrative (especially on its own) doesn’t help. You could almost say it is… what’s the word…  stupid?

But it is both easy and also it makes us feel good.  And ultimately, what matters more than that?

Most of the people pushing these lines probably don’t like the Conservatives very much.  And if they’re old enough and British, they probably didn’t like John Major (UK Conservative Prime Minister from 1990 to 1997).

In February 1993, speaking to the entirely wonderful newspaper the Mail on Sunday, Major said – in the context of the murder of a 2-year old boy by two 10 year-olds –  “ ‘Society needs to condemn a little more and understand a little less,”

But we need to condemn a little less and understand a little more.

What’s the backstory?

The back story is not just “neoliberalism” (though that really hasn’t helped. It is not as if the “Keynesian” government of the Glorious 30 (1945-1973) were beloved (see Seabrook, 1978; Gross, 1980; Slater, 1972). Things weren’t great before (though in retrospect they look like, well, a Golden Age).  Nearly 40 years of ‘austerity’ and widening wealth gaps has happened. 

Enormous social changes (some for the ‘better’, some perhaps not). Enormous technological changes.  People feel hella disorientated, aggrieved etc.

And on neoliberalism? It is part of the response to the Crisis of Democracy. What’s that? Well, here’s a short Noam Chomsky video. 

Also check out Ignoreland by REM.

But humans are also fragile, cognitively.  It’s easy to plant false memories in them. [Wikipedia].  And we are so surrounded by stories, all day.  We are made of dreams and bones, sang Pete Seeger. And stories.

And the stories often involve, in the words of The Onion, “Smart, Qualified People Behind The Scenes Keeping America Safe”.  

It’s a comforting story, people believe it. And it is a very short sidestep to Smart, Qualified People acting nefariously in cahoots with the WEF, OECD, PTA, whoever.

At least somebody is in charge, at least somebody knows what is going on. “Phew, we do, ultimately, live in a rational society.”

Except, remember that Nate Bear article you didn’t go and read? Or you did and you’re about to get a repeat….

Bear talks about reading a well-meaning tweet from someone who laments ‘if only we’d been told about the brain-damage aspect of COVID in 2020, we’d have acted differently’ and observes it got a lot of likes and retweets. And Bear writes

I’m going to be honest about what this says to me.

It says that too few people who consider themselves informed, clever, rational, followers of science, have spent any time thinking about how bad things happen and why.

It suggests to me a certain amount of privilege in your circumstances and life experiences.

My brain kind of translates it as how did I, a white person in the global north, where I thought we had our shit together, end up living in such an irrational society?

Bear, N. 2024. 

What about the race, class, gender and general powerlessness (stripped out civil society). And the pandemic  if you haven’t spoken of it before and anyhoo, recap

So, here’s a new section I am going to put in all these sorts of rants, I mean, “considered and very publishable in respected outlets think pieces.” You can call it mechanical, abrupt, virtue-signally, whatever floats your boat. I will call it forcing myself to think about things I can – as a white, male, hetero, middle-class, able-bodied mofo – very easily pretend don’t actually matter (pro-tip, they do).

Incomplete list to consider (e.g. age, species)Well then.
RaceWhy might black people be suspicious of the medical system? Why might they have crazy crazy ideas about being neglected, or used as unconsenting guinea pigs, their diseases treatable but left untreated?  BECAUSE IT HAPPENED.  But that sort of thing has definitely stopped. For sure. Yes.
ClassJust go reread the quote about losing everything at the top. And also look at the people in that meme with the bandages on their ears. They are of a different class. They are part of a class that likes Trump’s tax cuts. And the permission Trump gives them to sneer at anyone Not Them.
GenderThink about all this in interplay.  And think about what it will be like for female meteorologists. Remember, when the death threats started flying at Australian climate scientists in the late 2000s, women copped more. And still are (as per Gergis, 2024). 
PowerlessnessIt’s all combined. The neoliberalism (destroying the democratic state), the algorithms and surveillance and carceral state. The sense of hopelessness that anything will get better, that the enormous challenges will be dealt with.  There ARE evil actors out there, meaning harm.  But it’s easier to punch on meteorologists than the people who wrote Project 2025, because those guys have the power to mess you up good and proper. So allow your fear, hate, despair, anger to be channelled towards punching ‘down’.
PandemicUnprocessed trauma. Trauma about how the whole thing has been memory-holed.  See also Terror Management Theory
Synergy/intersectionalityYeah. If you have to ask, you won’t ever understand.

Time for more Bear.  Read more Bear.

“Under conditions of depoliticisation, people either reach for conspiracies or mold their understanding of events into long-standing explanations of the world. This goes as much for centrists and even some leftists as it does for the right.

“Centrists famously lack the ability to see the world through prisms of imperial capitalist power, leftists see imperial capitalist power behind every crisis, and the right see manufactured threats to a loosely defined freedom as behind every crisis.”

Bear, 2024


What it implies/what is coming next(what hand-wringing opportunities for guilty impotent liberals [most of us] lie ahead?

At times like this, one needs to quote the famous Swedish political philosophers Ulvaeus, and Andersson.

In a 1980 work, they recount how 

I was at a party and this fella said to me

“Something bad is happening, I’m sure you do agree

People care for nothing, no respect for human rights

Evil times are coming, we are in for darker nights”

The anger and all the rest of it isn’t going away, whether Trump i) wins, ii) steals or iii) is somehow unable to steal and that nice Kamala Harris gets into the White House.  The goose, like the planet, is well and truly cooked.

More death threats and shit against the impact scientists (meteorologists, disaster preparedness etc etc – see the Walzer quote below).

What is to be done? (by social movement organisations. But won’t be)

Oh, the usual.

  • Create and maintain functional groups that support members, extend their skills, knowledge and relationships while avoiding co-optation, cognitive capture, repression and burnout.
  • Work with other similarly effective groups across a range of issues (all the issues), sharing resources and working to democratise the state (good luck with that) and using the state to control private concentrations of power.
  • Create and defend venues for individuals and networks to figure out what is actually going on.

Easy-peasy.

It’s the only way you’ll prevent climate meltdown, and as long as you start in the early 1970s and work consistently and persistently and don’t suffer too many setbacks, by about 2026 or so you’ll be home free.

What are the academic theories I find useful for thinking about this/Concepts for you to use (in rough order of importance or alphabetical order or no order whatsoever because there were other things I had to do and anyway i) ymmv and ii) about three people are reading these

Terror Management Theory [Wikipedia] – people scared of death. And they figure ways to ignore it, blame others

Anti-reflexivity – we’re fed up with how damn COMPLICATED the world has gotten. See this by McCright and Dunlap.

Jung’s Shadow stuff

Reflexive Modernisation (100 second video here)

Impact Science versus Production Science (Schnaiberg)

Agnotology. [Wikipedia]

What is the responsibility of intellectuals?

It’s a bit of a miracle that an article (okay, rant) about conspiracy theories hasn’t already referenced Lewis Carrol and  “Six impossible things before breakfast.”

Well, here’s three impossible things to do before breakfast. (Also, like accusations, every bit of advice is a confession).

  1. A little humility

Maybe (we) liberals could reflect on all the patently absurd shit we either believe or find convenient to pretend in pubic to believe?

About markets, democracy, progress, the capacity of their institutions to cope with climate change. 

A little fucking humility might be in order (1) 

Marilyn Robinson’s 1989 book Mother Country: Britain, the Welfare State and Nuclear Pollution was so incendiary that those loveable scamps at Greenpeace sued her for libel (and won). Among its many gems was one she wrote(and I can’t find the exact page number or quote, so this is a paraphrase – if you have a copy, please let me know) (2).

“Most people know a little about some things and nothing about everything else.  They have little islands of knowledge in vast seas of ignorance” 

And Robinson was writing thirty years ago, before the sea level rise – literal and of metaphorical ignorance was rising.

  1. A little empathy, compassion, hermeneutical phenomenology, whatever label you want to stick on it.

Who knows, maybe some compassion and imagining what the world would look like in someone else’s shoes? (3).

Update on October 13, 2024 – See this from Heglar (2024) on the question of compassion

So why are folks running to invent new conspiracy theories when the real, undeniable conspiracy is right there? Because for them to change their mind would be to lose a very real part of their identity and, perhaps, to have to consider the possibility that some of their other beliefs may not be real either. And that might mean they need to find new communities or even new families. Changing your mind about something as colossal as the ground you live on and the air you breathe is not unlike coming out of a cult.

But we don’t treat people that way. We treat them like doofuses who fell for an obvious lie. Ultimately, who does that serve? Perhaps it’s time we start treating these people as what they are: victims of a manipulative, deliberate lie. And then turn our attention back toward the people who lied to them.

TO BE CLEAR:  THIS IS DISTINCT FROM CONDONING OR TOLERATING DEATH THREATS.

  1. Earn your ‘keep’ as intellectuals and tackle the “Warzel challenge” Remember those two articles at the beginning of this post. Well, the second was by a guy called Warzel. “We need new ways of thinking.”

The whip-smart American journalism professor Jay Rosen (you should follow him) screengrabbed this bit below of Warzel’s essay. I’ve not got access to the full Warzel, but I trust Rosen to get to the crux.

Maybe stop fucking wallowing in the fucking smugosphere and riding the emotacycle off the cliff?  Eh?

References

Bear, N. 2024. How Covid Broke Reality. Don’t Panic, October 11.

Duffy, B., & Dacombe, R. (2023). Conspiracy Belief Among the UK Public and the Role of Alternative Media.

Fleming, J. 2012. Fixing the Sky: The Checkered History of Weather and Climate Control by Jason Fleming. New York: Columbia University Press.

Gergis, J. 2024. Exposing net zero’s climate delusions. The Saturday Paper, September 28.

Heglar, M. 2024. What Are Hurricane Conspiracy Theories and Why Are They Spreading. Teen Vogue, October 10

Hudson, M. 2017. Geostorm: the latest climate action blockbuster that you shouldn’t watch. The Conversation, October 30. 

Hudson, M. 2022. Hudson, 2022. 1958, Jan 1: Control the weather before the Commies do…All Our Yesterdays, January 1.

Hudson, M. 2024. March 18, 1971 – “Weather modification took a macro-pathological turn”. All Our Yesterdays, March 18.

Milman, O. 2024. ‘It’s mindblowing’: US meteorologists face death threats as hurricane conspiracies surge. The Guardian, October 11

[Milman is a decent journo. See this on methane emissions spiking, from June 2024.] 

Robinson, M. 1989. Mother Country: Britain, the Welfare State, and Nuclear Pollution.  Wikipedia entry here.

Warzel, C. 2024. I’m Running Out of Ways to Explain How Bad This Is. The Atlantic, October 10 ,[paywalled]

Footnotes

  1. And as anyone who knows the author can attest, if you’re getting humility advice from Marc Fucking Hudson, you are in far deeper shit than you actually understand
  1.  The closest a perfunctory google search (GoogleBooks not letting search of MC) was this 

“How is one to understand the degradation of the sea and earth and air of the British homeland by people who use the word British the way others of us use the words good, and just, and proud, and precious, and lovely, and clement, and humane? No matter that these associations reflect and reinforce the complacency that allows the spoliation to go unchecked; still, surely they bespeak self-love, which should be some small corrective. I think ignorance must be a great part of the explanation–though ignorance so obdurate could be preserved only through an act of will.” From Granta.

  1.  This had me making some jibe about MTG (the g stands for gourd – as in Empty Gourd. Geddit?” It’s not funny (but I thought it was at the time) and it is EXACTLY the sort of shit that is going to piss people off for no benefit.  I have ZERO problem pissing people off if there is a potential benefit (to them and me both, ideally). But for the yucks? Really? Isn’t that just using other people’s misery and confusion to make us feel more powerful and superior in the moment? Isn’t that morally and politically bankrupt?  Oughtn’t I to grow the fuck up?

See also what else I’ve written

Oh, there is the old “Conspiracy -Apocalypse- Paranoia” booklet I should dig out and scan because it is bound to be startlingly brilliant, oh yes.


See also what other people have written

When the Conversation article goes live, I will post it here.

Jeremy Seabrook “What Went Wrong?”

Bertram Gross Friendly Fascism

Philip Slater The Pursuit of Loneliness 

Stuff I haven’t read but looks good

Rothschild, M. 2022. The Storm Is Upon Us How QAnon Became a Movement, Cult, and Conspiracy Theory of Everything

Rothschild, M. 2023. Jewish Space Lasers: The Rothschilds and 200 Years of Conspiracy Theories

Uscinski, J. E., Douglas, K., & Lewandowsky, S. (2017). Climate change conspiracy theories. Climate Science, 1-35. Free here.

Biddlestone, M., Azevedo, F., & van der Linden, S. (2022). Climate of conspiracy: A meta-analysis of the consequences of belief in conspiracy theories about climate change. Current Opinion in Psychology, 46, 101390

Tam, K. P., & Chan, H. W. (2023). Conspiracy theories and climate change: A systematic review. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 102129.

There’s more via googlescholar – here’s my keyword search, make your own!

Categories
Activism United States of America

May 1, 1971 – May Day anti-war actions in Washington DC

Fifty three years ago, on this day, May 1st, 1971, people came to Washington to throw their bodies on the gears of the machine, to stop the Vietnam War.

1971 May Day protests in Washington [Wikipedia]

See also

Mayday: The Case for Civil Disobedience
Noam Chomsky
The New York Review of Books, June 17, 1971

https://chomsky.info/19710617

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was roughly 326ppm. As of 2024 it is 425ppm, but check here for daily measures. 

The context was that the war in Vietnam was continuing. And the war in Cambodia, the bombing, there had been years of marches, petitions, protests, and now they were trying civil disobedience, direct action in Washington DC itself. And I wonder what it was like to be there. So desperate, so exhausted, scared, determined, you name it.

What we learn is that this is written out of the official histories that the war in Vietnam stories tend to end with Kent State. And the ongoing resistance to the war, after Kent State, is kind of largely ignored. It doesn’t fit the narrative because you have to then speak of domestic violence by the state against citizens. Well, also the whole “Weather Underground” thing, blowing themselves in that Greenwich Village townhouse, didn’t really help, did it?

What happened next, Nixon won the 1972 election, which tells you a lot of what you need to know. And the war in Vietnam continued. The Americans left in 73. And my first television memory that I can date was the fall of Saigon in April of 1975. The tank crashing through the gates of the Presidential Palace…

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

See also

See also Oreskes and Conway, 2010 Page 176

See also this from Jacobin

https://jacobin.com/2021/05/may-day-1971-vietnam-war-nixon

Also on this day: 

May 1, 1980 – ABC talks about atmospheric carbon dioxide measurement

May 1, 1996 – US Congressman says climate research money is “money down a rat hole”

Categories
Letters to publications

Letter in FT: Global carbon price call is a classic delaying tactic

WHOOP! Another letter in the FT.

Here’s the text-

It would be nice to live in Patrick J Allen’s world (FT letters “Getting mad at oil majors won’t solve energy crisis,” FT Weekend, 18 February). In that world innocent and disinterested oil companies are simply waiting for the world’s governments to agree a global carbon price.

Sadly, this world – the real one- is rapidly overheating. In this world oil companies have spent the last 35 years – from the very start of the climate negotiations – resolutely opposing such measures at both national and international levels. Whether the price is a tax or an emissions trading scheme, oil companies have been key players in the campaign of predatory delay, delaying deferring watering down either via direct lobbying, or by funding groups that deny the basic reality of 19th century physics.

Indeed, the call for a global carbon price is a classic delaying technique, because such a price would take decades to agree, even if it could be (doubtful).

These are decades during which two things would happen. One, the impacts of the carbon dioxide we have already put into the air would accelerate. Second, oil company profits would continue to climb.

Dr Marc Hudson

So, on the 19th century physics bit – before Arrhenius in 1896, there was this –

The French chemist Fourier in 1824/1827, showing that given the Earth’s distance from the Sun, and the temperature of the Earth, there must be *something* trapping heat, as in a greenhouse (see Jason Fleming’s excellent article).

Eunice Foote and John Tyndall in the late 1850s and early 1860s respectively showing that “carbonic acid” (essentially carbon dioxide in solution) traps heat…

On predatory delay –

“Predatory delay is the blocking or slowing of needed change, in order to make money off unsustainable, unjust systems in the meantime. For delay to be truly predatory, those engaged in it need to know two things: That they’re hurting others and that there are other options.”

Why I write

I LOVE the FT – not for its pro-growth, pro-capitalism ideology, but for its intelligence, the facts it displays, the quality of its writers. As Chomsky has said, if you want a tolerably accurate view of the world, read the quality business press (albeit with your bullshit detectors set to maximum settings), because these papers are written for the people who are actually running the show, and they need accurate information, not fairy stories they want to believe or they want/need other people to believe.

And that’s why I put effort into pushing back against bad narratives about climate change that appear in the FT. If the pushback gets published, then it appears in front of people who ‘matter’. As theories of change go, it’s not much, I agree, but at least it’s not going to make things actively worse…

Categories
Kyoto Protocol United States of America

December 7, 1928 – Noam Chomsky born

On this day, December 7 in 1928 – Noam Chomsky was born.

Happy 94th birthday, Noam.

Here’s a couple  of quotes, for those of you who want a taste. The first is (obvs) on climate. The second is on… heroes…

 “Take the Kyoto Protocol. Destruction of the environment is not only rational; it’s exactly what you’re taught to do in college. If you take an economics or a political science course, you’re taught that humans are supposed to be rational wealth accumulators, each acting as an individual to maximize his own wealth in the market. The market is regarded as democratic because everybody has a vote. Of course, some have more votes than others because your votes depend on the number of dollars you have, but everybody participates and therefore it’s called democratic. Well, suppose that we believe what we are taught. It follows that if there are dollars to be made, you destroy the environment. The reason is elementary. The people who are going to be harmed by this are your grandchildren, and they don’t have any votes in the market. Their interests are worth zero. Anybody that pays attention to their grandchildren’s interests is being irrational, because what you’re supposed to do is maximize your own interests, measured by wealth, right now. Nothing else matters. So destroying the environment and militarizing outer space are rational policies, but within a framework of institutional lunacy. If you accept the institutional lunacy, then the policies are rational.

Interview by Yifat Susskind, August 2001 [52]

And also, on heroes

I gather it’s your belief that when we focus on heroes in the movement, that’s a mistake, because it’s really the unsung heroes, the unsung seamstresses or whatever in this movement, who actually make a difference.

They’re the ones, yes. Take, say, the Civil Rights movement. When you think of the Civil Rights movement, the first thing you think of is Martin Luther King. King was an important figure. But he would have been the first to tell you, I’m sure, that he was riding the wave of activism, that people who were doing the work, who were in the lead in the Civil Rights movement, were young SNCC [Student Nonviolent Coordinating Committee] workers, freedom riders, people out there in the streets every day getting beaten and sometimes killed, working constantly. They created the circumstances in which a Martin Luther King could come in and be a leader. His role was extremely important, I’m not denigrating it, it was very important to have done that. But the people who were really important are the ones whose names are forgotten. And that’s true of every movement that ever existed.

http://globetrotter.berkeley.edu/people2/Chomsky/chomsky-con5.html

[The amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere was 307ppm. At time of writing it was 419ishppm- but for what it is now,well, see here for the latest.] 

Why this matters. 

Noam has mattered. Movements matter.