Categories
Denial India United Nations

March 6, 1992 – #survival emissions versus outright denial

Thirty one  years ago, on this day, March 6, 1992, US Public Radio had a segment with polar opposite views on its environment segment with Fred Singer (denialist idiot) and Anil Agarwal, of the Center for Science and the Environment, in New Delhi [link]. Agrawal made the point that while the West was talking about its luxury emissions, the mere survival emissions of poor people were being ignored, or worse, thrown into the mix as something that must be reduced. Oh how times have changed…

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was roughly 356ppm. As of 2023 it is 419ppm, but check here for daily measures. 

The context was that negotiations for the text of a climate treaty were entering the end game, centred on US intransigence on the question of targets and timetables versus the desire of the Europeans to have a stronger treaty. 

Singer had just orchestrated an open letter (see Feb 27 1992)

And National Public Radio was trying to educate people about all aspects of the debate, the science, the policy, etc. Agrawal made the point that there are such things as necessity, “survival emissions” versus “luxury emissions”, and that countries like India should have capacity to increase their emissions. Singer was just spewing the usual shite.

What I think we can learn from this

We should remember that what we now see, as a matter of fact, text of a climate treaty has been, from the beginning, intensely fought over. And the battles that were won by the evil bastards in 1992 have made it much easier for the opponents of climate action to continue to win, though they have never, to my knowledge, rested on their laurels, or taken their ongoing victory for granted.

What happened next

The French and Europeans blinked. There were no targets and timetables in the treaty. And here we are 31 years later. 

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong?  Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs...

Categories
anti-reflexivity Australia Carbon Pricing Denial

March 5, 2011 – Australian “wingnuts are coming out of the woodwork”

Twelve years ago, on this day, March 5, 2011 veteran Australian political commentator Laurie Oakes nailed the climate denialist nutters.

“Wingnuts are coming out of the woodwork. The mad and menacing phone calls to independent MP Tony Windsor are just one indication. There are plenty of others online. The carbon tax and Tony Abbott’s call for a people’s revolt have crazies foaming at the mouth. You see it on the ‘Revolt Against the Carbon Tax’ Facebook page, for example. Like this message from a Gillard-hater about a rally in front of Parliament House being planned for March 23: ‘Just like Egypt we stay there and protest continuously until she and her cronies, Bob Brown Greens etc are ousted! We have got to get rid of this Godless mistress of deceit.”’

Oakes, L. 2011. Loonies latch on to the politics of hate. The Australian, 5 March.

Oakes, 2013: 86

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was roughly 392.8ppm. As of 2023 it is 419ppm, but check here for daily measures. 

The context was an incredibly heated culture war that had been constructed around the question of having a price on carbon emissions. Opposition Leader Tony Abbott had had multiple positions on carbon pricing and climate change (the Howard government had gone to the 2007 election with such a policy). Abbott admitted to being a weather vane n the issue

By March 2011 he had seen off Kevin Rudd and had been reportedly willing to sell his ass to become Prime Minister. In February 2011 Labor Prime Minister Julia Gillard had announced that there would be an emissions trading scheme with a fixed price for two years. And as oaks puts it, all the wingnuts came out to play…

What I think we can learn from this

That settler colonies don’t deal well with the notion of environmental limits especially if someone who is only a woman is in charge.

That it is partly possible to import culture war techniques from the United States. They won’t work perfectly in other countries, but for a while, they give the appearance of effectiveness. 

You also want to think about McCright and Dunlap 2011, anti reflexivity as part of the picture underneath all of this.

What happened next

Well, on the 23rd of March, there was the infamous rally with Abbott being photographed next to placards that talked about “Bob Brown’s Bitch” and “Ditch the Witch ”. The wingnuts kept coming out to play but with less than less efficacy. It’s not just left wing groups that suffer from burnout and emotacycles.

Abbott got the opportunity to show the world what a smart and effective leader he could be from September 2013.  “Oops” doesn’t begin to cover it.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong?  Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

Categories
Letters to publications

Letter in FT: Global carbon price call is a classic delaying tactic

WHOOP! Another letter in the FT.

Here’s the text-

It would be nice to live in Patrick J Allen’s world (FT letters “Getting mad at oil majors won’t solve energy crisis,” FT Weekend, 18 February). In that world innocent and disinterested oil companies are simply waiting for the world’s governments to agree a global carbon price.

Sadly, this world – the real one- is rapidly overheating. In this world oil companies have spent the last 35 years – from the very start of the climate negotiations – resolutely opposing such measures at both national and international levels. Whether the price is a tax or an emissions trading scheme, oil companies have been key players in the campaign of predatory delay, delaying deferring watering down either via direct lobbying, or by funding groups that deny the basic reality of 19th century physics.

Indeed, the call for a global carbon price is a classic delaying technique, because such a price would take decades to agree, even if it could be (doubtful).

These are decades during which two things would happen. One, the impacts of the carbon dioxide we have already put into the air would accelerate. Second, oil company profits would continue to climb.

Dr Marc Hudson

So, on the 19th century physics bit – before Arrhenius in 1896, there was this –

The French chemist Fourier in 1824/1827, showing that given the Earth’s distance from the Sun, and the temperature of the Earth, there must be *something* trapping heat, as in a greenhouse (see Jason Fleming’s excellent article).

Eunice Foote and John Tyndall in the late 1850s and early 1860s respectively showing that “carbonic acid” (essentially carbon dioxide in solution) traps heat…

On predatory delay –

“Predatory delay is the blocking or slowing of needed change, in order to make money off unsustainable, unjust systems in the meantime. For delay to be truly predatory, those engaged in it need to know two things: That they’re hurting others and that there are other options.”

Why I write

I LOVE the FT – not for its pro-growth, pro-capitalism ideology, but for its intelligence, the facts it displays, the quality of its writers. As Chomsky has said, if you want a tolerably accurate view of the world, read the quality business press (albeit with your bullshit detectors set to maximum settings), because these papers are written for the people who are actually running the show, and they need accurate information, not fairy stories they want to believe or they want/need other people to believe.

And that’s why I put effort into pushing back against bad narratives about climate change that appear in the FT. If the pushback gets published, then it appears in front of people who ‘matter’. As theories of change go, it’s not much, I agree, but at least it’s not going to make things actively worse…

Categories
Agnotology anti-reflexivity Denial United States of America

March 4, 2003 – “Luntz memo” exposes Bush climate strategy 

Twenty years ago, on this day, March 4, 2003, President Bush’s greenwash strategy was revealed in all its steaming glory 

The memo, by the leading Republican consultant Frank Luntz, concedes the party has “lost the environmental communications battle” and urges its politicians to encourage the public in the view that there is no scientific consensus on the dangers of greenhouse gases.

“The scientific debate is closing [against us] but not yet closed. There is still a window of opportunity to challenge the science.”

Burkeman, O. 2003. Memo Exposes Bush’s New Greenwash StrategyThe Guardian, March 4

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was roughly 376.6ppm. As of 2023 it is 419ppm, but check here for daily measures. 

The context was  that George Bush was clearly not going to do anything about climate change. It’s not clear that Al Gore, who actually won the  2000 presidential election, would have either, but there you are. So it became a question of how to position the issue. So-called “perception management.” And the Luntz memo basically says, 

What I think we can learn from this

The battle for the control of the public mind is a never-ending battle. (Or rather, the propagandisation and the attempts to combat it, so that we can have a public sphere not dominated by rich vested interests, is never-ending). And as reality, physical reality, impinges more and more, you’re gonna find more and more people spewing propaganda and more and more people and this is the crux, wanting to believe it. So, this is not brainwashing against resistance. This is going with the grain.

What happened next

Luntz sort of kind of recanted ,in 2019

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/08/21/frank-luntz-wrong-climate-change-1470653

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong?  Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs..

Categories
Australia

March 4, 1998 – The Australian Greenhouse Office gets a boss…

Twenty five  years ago, on this day, March 4, 1998, Gwen Andrews became the first boss of the “Australian Greenhouse Office”

“With a bureaucratic background in the Department of Finance and an unassuming manner, Andrews was probably useful early on in allaying concern in industry at the creation of the new office. However, as the AGO suffered one Cabinet defeat after another, the hopes of the staff to be part of Australia’s response to the world’s biggest environmental threat were deflated and morale fell. Andrews resigned in 2002 and later said that over her four years in the job she was not once asked to brief the Prime Minister on the issue.

(Hamilton, 2007: 99)

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was roughly 367.3ppm. As of 2023 it is 419ppm, but check here for daily measures. 

The context for the creation of the Australian Greenhouse Office, was that John Howard had been desperate to minimise the political damage that would accrue from not making a deal or not signing on to a deal at Kyoto. 

In late 1997, before the Kyoto conference, in order to get his version of the narrative installed as insurance, he had announced the creation of the Australian Greenhouse Office. As was pointed out by Clive Hamilton, the funding for this was derisory, and it was likely to achieve nothing. 

And so it came to pass. Gwen Andrews was the appointed CE.

What I think we can learn from this

It’s easy for naive radicals and for liberals to think that the creation of an office or a task force is somehow progress. It is not. It is at best potential progress, the outcome of which will rely on sustained radical non co-opted action. But this is tremendously difficult because for NGOs in need of easy wins such taskforces are pure catnip, and middle-class people who have mortgages to pay, kids to educate and so forth go and get medium to well paid jobs in such structures. You see it all the time. – see the end of this report about Manchester event about airports and public hearings as a redemption ritual – https://manchesterclimatemonthly.net/2013/07/09/event-report-airports-commission-talks-climate-in-manchester-redemptionritual/

What happened next

The Australian Greenhouse office staggered on as a less and less convincing thing, fig leaf, until it was in the manner of these things discarded in 2003 or 2004.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong?  Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs..

References

Hamilton, C. (2007) Scorcher: The Dirty Politics of Climate Change. Black Inc.

Categories
Australia

March 3, 1990 – Energy efficiency could save billions a year, Australian government told (says ‘whatevs’).

Thirty three years ago, on this day, March 3, 1990, a report on energy efficiency, commissioned by Australia’s Federal Government, was launched

AUSTRALIA could save money and drastically reduce emissions of greenhouse gas if it became energy efficient, a report released yesterday revealed.

The report, A Greenhouse Energy Strategy, commissioned by the Federal Environment Department, found that by the year 2005, Australia could reduce its carbon dioxide output by almost 19 per cent on 1988 levels, resulting in annual savings of $6.5 billion.

Mealey, E. 1990. Energy cuts could save $6.5bn a year. Sun Herald, 4 March, p. 37

And

In the year 2005, greenhouse gas emissions could be cut by 18.8 per cent below the 1988 levels, and at the same time, Australia could save $6.5 billion a year, Federal Environment Minister Graham Richardson said on March 3. He was presenting the Greenhouse Energy Strategy report by Deni Green Consulting Services. “An annual saving on that scale has the potential to turn Australia’s economy around,” said Senator Richardson.

Anon, 1990.  How energy efficiency could save money, cut greenhouse gases.  Green Week,  March  13 , p.3.

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was roughly 355.7ppm. As of 2023 it is 419ppm, but check here for daily measures. 

The context was that Australia and other nations were holding various meetings, The Hague (March 1989) Nordwijk (November 1989), etc. around a climate treaty. The US and UK were both trying to slow it down. And in these various nations, environmentalists were trying to get strong policies about greenhouse gas emissions reductions. In Australia the environment department (DASETT) paid for a study by an expat American economist called Deni Green. 

And on this day, a report was released, written by her, saying that energy efficiency measures would make achieving a putative 20% reduction in emissions by 2005 very, very doable. 

Various states were already talking about the Toronto target adoption, the Federal Government was holding out. Treasurer Paul Keating had stopped the push for one for such an announcement in 1989.

And of course, all of this was happening in the context of a federal election to be held later the same month.

What I think we can learn from this

We need to remember that people have been talking about the value of energy efficiency as a greenhouse gas reduction measure for literally decades. And yet, not nearly as much progress has been made as they would have expected that the time or could have been. And it’s worth exploring why. One simple reason is that efficiency is not sexy, it doesn’t mean that the politician can stand there with a big hardhat and a high vis jacket. It also speaks to having to be limited. And modern humans hate that idea, hate having to live within limits. Or rather, the capitalists hate the idea that we would have to…  see Hudson 2017 for more on this

What happened next

The Friends of Coal won all the big battles, and the idea of energy efficiency on steroids got sidelined again, of course.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong?  Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs..

See also – I wrote about this report last year!

Categories
Activism Coal United States of America

March 2, 2009 –  Washington DC coal plant gets blockaded

Fourteen years ago, on this day, March 2, 2009, protestors blockade a coal plant

The blockade lasted nearly four hours, forming what organizers called the largest display of civil disobedience on the climate crisis in U.S. history. 

Police were out in force, but no one was arrested.

The 99-year-old plant is responsible for an estimated one-third of the legislative branch’s greenhouse gas emissions. It no longer generates electricity for the legislative buildings but provides steam for heating and chilled water for cooling buildings within the Capitol Complex.

Environmental and climate celebrities led the protest action, including NASA climatologist Dr. James Hansen, who released a video on YouTube in February urging people to join him March 2 at the demonstration to send a message to Congress and the President that, “We want them to take the actions that are needed to preserve climate for young people and future generations and all life on the planet.”

2009  Capitol Coal Plant protest – demonstrators blockade one of the five gates to the Capitol Power plant. March 2, 2009.http://www.capitolclimateaction.org

https://www.biologicaldiversity.org/news/press_releases/2009/climate-action-03-02-2009.html

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was roughly 387ppm. As of 2023 it is 419ppm, but check here for daily measures. 

The context was that there is always ongoing effort to shut individual energy projects. And these can be dismissed as NIMBY. But it’s really important to fight those battles because how else are you gonna stop local madness and build the confidence, competence and credibility to stop the national and international madness?. And also to try to have an influence on national policy, obviously. 

What I think we can learn from this

We need to remember and celebrate resistance not just dissent, but actual resistance.

What happened next

Read it and weep – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capitol_Power_Plant

The emissions kept climbing.

But this is extraordinary, from a 2015 article in Politico, “Inside the War on Coal”

Beyond Coal’s pivotal moment came at a meeting in Gracie Mansion about, of all things, education reform. Michael Bloomberg, the Wall Street savant-turned media mogul-turned New York City mayor, was looking for a new outlet for his private philanthropy. It quickly became clear that education reform would not be that outlet.

“It was a terrible meeting in every way, and Mike was angry,” recalls his longtime adviser, Kevin Sheekey. “I said: ‘Look, if you don’t like this idea, that’s fine. We’ll bring you another.’ He said: ‘No, I want another now.’”

As it happened, Sheekey had just eaten lunch with Carl Pope, who was starting a $50 million fundraising drive to expand Beyond Coal’s staff to 45 states. The cap-and-trade plan that Obama supported to cut carbon emissions had stalled in Congress, and the carbon tax that Bloomberg supported was going nowhere as well. Washington was gridlocked. But Pope had explained to Sheekey that shutting down coal plants at the state and local level could do even more for the climate—and have a huge impact on public health issues close to his boss’s heart.

“That’s a good idea,” Bloomberg told Sheekey. “We’ll just give Carl a check for the $50 million. Tell him to stop fundraising and get to work.”

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong?  Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs..

Categories
Interviews

On journalism, climate and “nobody wants to delve too deeply” – interview with Pete Watts

Freelance journalist Pete Watts kindly answered a few questions about his work and climate change. His work can be found at the Great Wen, and his latest book is Up In Smoke: The Failed Dreams Of Battersea Power Station (Paradise Road

  1. Who are you/what do you do and (how) has climate change impinged on that?

I am Peter Watts, a freelance journalist, editor and author. I mainly write about arts and culture as well as architecture, but I also do a lot of copywriting for brands and companies. It’s the latter area that has mostly been affected by climate change, in the sense that almost every company I deal with now wants to foreground sustainability and highlight their environmental credentials. A couple of years ago, the emphasis was diversity and sustainability but now it is almost entirely about sustainability.

This includes a lot of self-styled “luxury” companies or organisations from across the world that trade solely on providing sustainable products such as very expensive recycled clothing or water bottles made from ocean plastic or a finance company that had developed a tool that measures how banks, insurance brokers and lenders are exposed to climate risk. Then there are all the companies that wish to celebrate carbon-saving efficiencies in traditionally dirty industries, particularly textiles and construction.

I am not always sure how much this focus on sustainability is driven by consumer trends rather than genuine fear for the planet or desire for improvement, but it’s clear that most companies now recognise the need to at least acknowledge some responsibility for the climate and want to be seen to be doing something to reduce their carbon footprint. That is something that wasn’t the case a decade ago.

There is clearly an element of greenwashing in this, but some individuals are extremely passionate, knowledgeable and committed. They recognise the urgency of the situation and believe that business is the best way to create wide-spread change.

2 Famously journalism goes through waves of interest in a topic – often quite short, and without connection to the relative importance of an issue. Where are things, in the UK, with the climate issue, compared to – say – 2018/19.

That’s tricky for me to say as when it comes to news journalism I am very much a consumer like anybody else, so can only really state what anybody might observe. So I think a lot depends on which media you consume – somebody who reads the Guardian will clearly have a different experience to the Daily Telegraph or Daily Mail.

But what seems to have changed is that even the latter newspapers, while still having climate change-denying columnists largely employed to generate rage clicks, now carry almost daily reports that demonstrate to the readers the obvious impact of climate change. So even on the right, there seems to be an acceptance that things are changing, even if there is disagreement on the causes of that change, what the eventual results of it might look like and what needs to be done to stop it.

I think this is relevant when seeing government ministers raging against net zero – even within their own constituencies, these people now represent a minority view, albeit one that unfortunately still has an outsized impact and gets way too much attention. Rather than angrily amplify their views, it might be better to simply ignore them.

I remember the first serious bump in mainstream “green” stories when David Cameron became Conservative leader as that was seen as an issue that might get him elected, so was covered sympathetically by the press. Things then went quiet again as there was no electoral value in sustainability but it started to slowly change with the annual news of unprecedented droughts, floods and fires around the world. Last year’s heatwave in the UK might have been a turning point in this country as it was something everybody could understand lay outside accepted norms and even the most sceptical seemed to accept it wasn’t an isolated event. The weight of evidence was now too large.  

I believe that the media’s incredible capacity for collective amnesia will soon completely bury all memories of climate change denial.

I guess the biggest issue is that a lot of this journalism is quite passive – reports on the weather, reports on extreme conditions, reports on climate change reports – rather than stating what needs to be done or clearly outlining the consequences of inaction. You get that in the Guardian obviously but not anywhere else.

3. More broadly, does climate change “come up” in conversations at the school gate/dinner parties “etc”?  In what ways?

Yes certainly. It seems to be a background concern for most people I speak to at school gates and in the pub (I don’t think I have ever had a dinner party I am afraid). There’s a lot of hopelessness – “what’s the point?” – and a certain amount of cognitive dissonance – “climate change is terrible and I will talk about that when I fly back from Los Angeles for this one meeting”. The problem is that the issue is so vast, the solutions are so complex or life-limiting, and the implications so terrible, that nobody really wants to delve into it too deeply beyond acknowledging it’s very frightening. I would include myself in this.

4.  What are some of your favourite books/films/radio programmes that help you think through the climate issue?

As per the above, I tend to avoid any books, films or radio programmes that are explicitly about climate change. I find factual material to be too depressing and fictitious material too frivolous. I have over the years read books, watched films and played lots and lots of video games about the apocalypse, so I guess that counts. Most of these are about zombies, but I can handle a metaphor.

Categories
Japan

 March 1, 1954 – Lucky Dragon incident gives the world the word “fall out”

Sixty nine years ago, on this day, March 1, 1954, some folks got unlucky on the “Lucky Dragon”.

Aside from ratcheting up anxieties about the Cold War, peacetime tests of hydrogen bombs changed the way scientists around the world thought about the earth itself. It began when radioactive ash from a 1954 American nuclear test fell out of the sky and blanketed a Japanese fishing vessel, the Fukuryu Maru (Lucky Dragon). The crew was hospitalised, one man died, the fish market collapsed – and the chairman of the US Atomic Energy Commission, Lewis Strauss, unwisely blamed the Japanese for having been at the wrong place at the wrong time. The international incident introduced a new word to people around the world: fallout.

(Hamblin, 2013: 94-5)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daigo_Fukury%C5%AB_Maru

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was roughly 313ppm. As of 2023 it is 419ppm, but check here for daily measures. 

The context was that the Americans and the Russians were, for separate reasons, blowing up atomic and hydrogen bombs in the atmosphere; for the lulz, and the military posturing, and the priesthood of defence intellectuals, etc. The Pacific is big, but not so big that some Japanese fishing boats didn’t wander into a fallout cloud as we would now call it.

What I think we can learn from this

It’s how the world got the word fallout, both as a literal and metaphorical device. It made people aware that the radiation could get everywhere. It probably was in the back of Neville Shute’s mind as part of the inspiration for On The Beach. And of course, once strontium 90 started accumulating in mother’s milk and baby’s teeth, everyone got the idea that technology could now have an influence, not just on a local, but on a global scale. (check out Project Sunshine)

What happened next

In the short-term, this was one more thing that was nudging Roger Revelle towards looking at carbon dioxide-

“Moreover, in 1954 fallout from an American thermonuclear test injured the crew of a Japanese fishing vessel and the entire Japanese nation became panicky about the safety of eating fish. Besieged by public anxieties, the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission (AEC) stepped up its program of research on where fallout ends up in the environment.69 Revelle became involved in the problem as chair of a National Academy of Sciences committee assigned to study the effects of radioactive material on fisheries. Revelle himself was interested chiefly in the disposal of wastes. But he was also in touch with Libby, now at the AEC and heading its study of fallout, in connection with the contamination of surface waters by isotopes from bomb tests. Research on ocean mixing had become a topic of international importance “

Weart, 1997:343

In 1963, there was a test ban treaty. And so the boys with their toys started to do it underground. 

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong?  Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs..

References

Hamblin, J. Arming Mother Nature

Weart, S. 1977

Categories
Australia Uncategorized

February 28, 2010 – Australian Prime Minister says won’t walk away from climate. (Then does, obvs.)

Thirteen  years ago, on this day, February 28, 2010, Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd was on a then-quite-good ABC TV program called “Insiders.”

He said this: “When our kids look back in 20 years and ask the question of this generation, ‘were they fair dinkum or did they walk away from it?’, I’d rather say that I threw everything at it, threw absolutely everything at it, to try and make it work, and to try and deliver an outcome at home and abroad.

“We think we’ve got to act, and act appropriately. That’s why we don’t walk away from this one bit.”

Then two months later, he walked away from the whole issue of climate change, trying to pin it all on Tony Abbott.  https://www.abc.net.au/news/2010-06-24/rudds-downfall-he-never-really-got-it/880258  and https://pmtranscripts.pmc.gov.au/release/transcript-17085

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was roughly 391ppm. As of 2023 it is 419ppm, but check here for daily measures. 

The context was

Kevin Rudd had skilfully come to power in late 2007 by using climate change as a wedge against his political opponents – first Prime Minister John Howard, and then, once he got the top job, against opposition leaders Brendan Nelson and Malcolm Turnbull.  But then, in 2009, he came up against junkyard dog Tony Abbott, and he lost his nerve.  He was advised to call an election (see December 23 blog post from last year). He didn’t, and then didn’t figure out a way of climbing down from his climate position.  He dismissed a proposal from the Greens for an interim carbon tax. He … ah, I could go on. 

What I think we can learn from this

Politicians who talk about “great moral challenge” without showing skill or guts are worse than useless, because they encourage cynicism and fatalism, making it that much harder for those who come after them.

What happened next

Rudd bailed on climate.  This tanked his previously high approval ratings (which were already taking a dent, it’s true)  Rudd then ran off on a Mining Tax crusade. That came to an end, almost by accident, when his long-suffering and until-then loyal deputy Julia Gillard challenged for the leadership in June 2010.   Gillard got some carbon pricing legislation through, but at the cost of, well, everything.

This was all unnecessary. If Rudd had had skill or guts….

NB, for any ALPers – nope, never been a member of the Greens, and when you focus on their actions during the CPRS vote, you reveal that you are unwilling to admit that your guy was not as smart or courageous as he thought, or as he needed to be.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong?  Do comment on this post.