The third issue of the “El Niño Digest Times” is out now. It’s 8 pages of excerpts, quotes and images about the events unfolding as you read this. Download as a pdf or a word doc.
Tl;dr – there are going to be astonishing impacts, we’re at the end of the first (“antici….pation”) phase moving into the real stuff. Comments/suggestions welcome.
There’ll be “waiting for the other shoe to drop” the phoney war, the Rocky Horror, “antici….pation.”
We’re in this phase at the minute, like the 1939-40 phoney war, where we all know it’s coming but somehow think it won’t be That Bad. People are doing “disaster porn”, circulating stories of deaths foretold etc,
plaintive appeals for governments etc to plan and to minimise the coming damage. These appeals will be, largely, ignored.
Then there’ll be the “whatever happens happens” (sturm and drang, thunder and lightning, very very frightening)
And if it is as bad, then it’ll be “disaster of the week” every week (especially if there are White People in Peril). Hawaii getting bulls-eyed by hurricanes is one early example of this, if/when it happens.
And then we’ll be in it, and there’ll be floods (see what I did there, har har) of videos.
The fake sharks will make an appearance.
Then, if it’s as bad as the boffins say, then there will be
disaster relief appeals
disaster relief appeal scams
Denunciations of coloniality, settler colonialism (which actually have a point, given the history of it all).
If it’s for some reason not that bad, some of the “El Nino minimizers”, climate deniers, lukewarmers will try to tell us “hysterical media”, “hysterical science”.
Then there’ll be the aftermath, the clean-up, the accounting. (“She should have died hereafter. Tomorrow and tomorrow and tomorrow blah blah .”)
Lives will be ended, ecosystems will be radically altered (and will not ‘bounce back’). So much will be lost. It will all get pinned on El Nino, in an effort to avoid talking about the sweaty elephant in the room, carbon dioxide build-up
Fwiw, I think one of the things El Nino will destroy is the illusion that some (vaguely defined) previous era of stability/growth is going to return if we just do x, y, and z.