Categories
Activism

“Climate Camp at 20: what (if any?) lessons

On 26 August 2006, a bunch of self-declared radicals gathered in Yorkshire, close to the biggest point source of carbon dioxide emissions in Europe – Drax coal-fired power station.  In this too brief (too long?) post I reflect on how it came to be, my role (not zero, not huge), what happened next, and what we could learn, if we had any learning capacity.)

How it came to be

From the 1950s the British public were informed about the possibility of carbon dioxide build-up leading to, well, trouble.  This was only occasional, and usually came with “well, there might be an Ice Age, who knows?” caveats.  By the mid-1970s though, the warnings started to come thicker.  However, for good reasons climate change was not a campaigning issue for the various Green groups (the Conservation Society, Friends of the Earth, Greenpeace). The 1980s was mostly about trying to keep the maniacs in the White House (not that the Kremlin was exactly sane) from starting a third (and final) world war.  CND, marches, Greenham Common (we will come back to that).  Finally, in 1988, for various reasons, the ‘greenhouse effect’ burst onto the scene and various campaigns got going.  Non-violent direct action on environmental issues got going in the early 1990s, mostly around road bypasses (Twyford, then Newbury).  Meanwhile, there was a ‘Wake Up’ time is running out protest in London.

In March-April 1995 there were protests at the very first Conference of the Parties (COP) to the Climate Treaty, in Berlin.

The roads protests movements of the 1990s broadened to a wider critique of “development” and “capital”, reaching a kind of apotheosis with the J18 protests (or, if you prefer ‘riot’) in the Square Mile.  From that emerged a process – criticised at the time – of ‘summit-hopping’ – of using international meetings of the G7, IMF, World Bank as a hook for ‘action’.  Who got to participate and who didn’t was somewhat elided.  

Climate Change was definitely “in the mix” though – one of the summits “hopped” was the COP-6 meeting in The Hague, where climate activists did all sorts of cool stuff. The “Rising Tide” group was trying – with limited success (not their fault) – to get fellow activists more focussed on the carbon dioxide problem. 

August 16, 2001 – Rising Tide has plenty of ideas

It’s unclear to me how this summit would have turned out – significant and in some cases life-changing violence was dished out to peaceful protestors at Genoa in 2001. 

July 21, 2001 – Sleeping protestors beaten by Italian Police

Would that have had the desired effect of scaring people into silence, raising the costs of ‘recruitment’? We’ll never know, because 911 happened (for the avoidance of doubt – the claims it was an ‘inside job’ have always struck me as ludicrous).

Environmental NVDA types were a bit perplexed for 2002, is my sense. As the attack on Iraq became obvious (really by September 2002), people started talking about direct action against war preparations. And Keir Starmer, then a young-ish human rights lawyer, successfully defended some people who took action (but I digress).

Finally (!). In 2005, the UK was hosting a G-7 meeting, and Prime Minister Tony Blair was desperate to change the conversation from the seeming-Forever War in Iraq.  He chose climate change as the issue to do that (in the same way that David Cameron, as opposition leader, would use environment- and climate – as a way of de-toxifying the Tory brand). But I am digressing again.

So, there were protests, from the ‘fluffy’ stuff through to attempts at spikier stuff at the Gleneagles G-7 summit (there’s an Ian Rankin Rebus novel set at this time, which is quite fun. Right, that’s my last digression (who am I kidding?)

Crucially, though a bunch of people, veterans of the roads protests, were thinking. They sent out an email (which I can’t find) which said, in essence


“Why are we reactive, letting the capitalists decide what we talk about? Why aren’t we (the activists) more active on climate, the number one issue?  We think there should be a Camp for Climate Action in mid-2006, and if you think you want to be involved, come to a one-day meeting in Manchester.”

My role (because, you know, I am so important)

I’d been involved in various things in the late 1990s and for various reasons too boring to write about, had retreated from the ‘spiky’/arrestable stuff in 2001 or so.

I knew nothing of the G-7 discussions until the email hit my inbox.  I had a fairly thick folder of newspaper clippings about climate change from the FT, the Grauniad etc. I’d had a vasectomy in 2004 because I knew that the societal response to climate change would be grotesquely inadequate (I’d thought that since the early 1990s) and that there was serious trouble ahead.

If the meeting had been called for anywhere else except Manchester, I probably wouldn’t have gone and my life would have been very very different, for reasons too boring to write about.

Anywho, I went to the meeting, was impressed by some of the people and decided to get involved, even though I knew it would – within a few years – end in tears (I had a conversation with an acquaintance at the end of the day and she asked why I was going to get involved if I had no hope of ‘success’? I said, probably even more pompously than I remember ‘well, you have to, don’t you?’

Some bits of the next few months are very clear, others I have expunged.  The planning weekends were monthly, in different cities. Attendance hovered around 50 or 60. I thought London (May, I think) would be bigger but it wasn’t. A wise friend said “no smell of victory.” This was profound. People could get involved in, say, stopping a bypass, or keeping GMOs off supermarket shelves with a plausible path to victory. But climate? Come on – five minutes thinking about it and you realise that this is a lost cause, only to be fought by masochists with simple martyrdom complexes and the malcontents.

I look back on the things I do remember and for the most part I wince and cringe at my actions and general deportment. I look back on some things with a sliver of pride – the 

the “Time Up” book, the burnout booklet, and a few others. I loved working with my cartoonist friend Marc..


Anyway, the Camp happened (we will come back to that) though I had thought the odds of the site being occupied were at best 50-50. There were some friendships made, and some near-networks.  

August 31, 2006 – activists try to “Reclaim Power”

There were also many many problems that didn’t get noticed, or were thrown in the too-hard basket – such is the nature of social movement organising.

The interest from the media was unexpected by most, I think.  It was, however, “silly-season” (parliament not sitting, politicians on holiday, still acres of newspaper to be filled), and “hippies whining about climate change” was novel.

The Environmental NGOs sat up and took notice, which was a two edged sword.

And the police and security services… well, we will come back to that.

So, after the Camp everyone was exhausted.  The decisions about ‘what next’, which I had tried to kick off, with very limited impact, were deferred to the next meeting, at the same venue in Manchester.

That was when I really began to have serious doubts about the strategic nous, and trust in process, of key people.  Without re-hashing events that happened literally 20 years ago, there is such a thing as “facipulation” – priming an audience in a certain way and then asking them to make a “free” decision.  And that’s what happened. The needed discussion about whether another Camp was the best way forward for 2007, what the dangers and other possibilities were, was simply not held. It COULD have been, thanks to the choices of some people, in positions of power (anyone who tells you there is no power/authority in so-called ‘non-hierarchical organisations’ is either an idiot or a bald-faced liar. Or perhaps both).

I stayed involved, with more and more misgivings. There were moments I appreciated (thanks to whoever got the Greenham veteran to lead a session in Leeds in early 2007 – that was mint, she was great).  My final straw was seeing how the activists at  Glastonbury 2007. Too boring to write about. I bailed, and started focussing more on local action (Manchester Climate Forum, Manchester Climate Fortnightly, Manchester Climate Monthly. Climate Emergency Manchester what a Gaiadam waste of time).

What happened next

Climate Camp went to Heathrow in 2007. Climate was a hot topic, and the camp was there in London, so of course attendance was much higher (despite bullshit claims, there’d never been more than about 600 people at any one time at Drax. ‘thousands’ my very fat arse).   

The following year, 2008, saw the Camp, by now the typical honeypot for various Trot groupuscules, NGOs etc etc  parked next to a coal-fired power station again, because this was the age of new coal-fired power stations that were going to be “carbon-capture ready.”  Not Ed Miliband’s finest moment – the man does, of course, like his ludicrous technofixes.

That 2008 Camp for Climate Action was pivotal.  The police had decided to take the velvet gloves off, mostly. They intimidated, via searches and photos of all who wanted to attend. They blasted “I fought the law and the law won” on loud speakers in the middle of the night. They briefed journalists that police had been injured (implying it was those dirty violent hippy protestors, knowing a mostly supine media would not ask any questions).

This worked – I remember a Manchester activist full of guilt and shame because she couldn’t face the intimidation and threatening behaviour that went with participating in the Camp.

Meanwhile, a couple of months later – The Climate Change Act was passed (props to Friends of the Earth – they threw everything they had at it, lobbyingwise.  They got a little lucky (Cameron needing a re-branding issue), but without FoE’s expertise and heft, I don’t think the CCA would have been anywhere near as ‘strong’ as it was [To be clear, we’re utterly toast, my 2004 vasectomy was the right choice. But within the context of the ‘possible’, the CCA was an achievement.]

As far as I could tell, from distance, a lot of the 2006 crew had gotten fed up/burnt out and by 2009 the “Climate Camp” brand was in new, and slightly weird hands. It was held on Blackheath, in London (so, the South dominates again, and again).

2009 was dominated by the upcoming “last chance to save the world” COP to be held in Copenhagen.  Despite the fact that “Camp for Climate Action” had started with an explicit critique of ‘summit-hopping’, off people went. Meanwhile, a march in London that all the NGOs had spent the year begging people to attend attracted a relatively paltry 50 thousand (“the Wave” – got help us).

2010 was nail in coffin time, as you’d expect for a social movement wave (people can only put the rest of their lives on hold for so long, sustain the myth of progress for so long, before they say ‘so long’ to forever comrades).

The Copenhagen debacle meant that a lot of people Lost Hope (srsly, fuck ‘hope’). The media stopped paying attention to the whole issue, not just “hippies in a field want social change”.  The first climate camp north of the Watford Gap since 2006 was a bust.  And then came the revelation that key players in the social movement organisations that had given us roads protests, ‘anti-globalisation’ and, yes, climate camp, were, in fact, deep cover police.

“Awks,” as the kids used to say, briefly.

It’s in that context that the cringe “Metamorphosis” statement emerged from a meeting in early 2011. Climate Camp was dead. Long live… er… er.. Reclaim the Power?

Reclaim the Power tried to stop a new wave of gas-fired power stations, using many of the techniques refined during the Climate Camp era.  Brave people, putting their bodies and liberty on the line. Meanwhile, other people threw themselves into stopping fracking, with more success.

In 2015 there was a (failed) attempt at using yet another COP to “kickstart” the UK climate movement. 

In 2016 there was an activist zine on “Drax ten years on.”  Full disclosure – I was invited to write a piece, and I did. If I can dig it out I will. But the zine was not, in my opinion, a success – many of the key questions that needed asking were not even asked.

See also – Hope, false hope, stupid hope and #climatechange: From Paris to Extinction (Rebellion)

In the second half of 2018 “Extinction Rebellion” came along.  Combined with the school strikes, the IPCC’s “1.5 degrees” report and Greta Thunberg’s school strike (a highly emotive and easily replicated new repertoire), this gave us the latest ‘Big Wave’. 

One observation – during that period you could talk to ‘heavily involved’ XR types who would look at you blankly when you said “Climate Camp.” For the young ones, that was understandable – they had been 8 or 9 or whatever. For those fire-breathers in their 50s and 60s it was, I think, an uncomfortable topic, because it put the lie to the notion that nobody had ever tried to act on climate. These people had, for whatever reason, chosen not to get involved over a decade earlier. Some were quite desperate to ‘make up for lost time’, which, er, you can’t do…

Even before COVID, though, there were real signs that all was not well. I have written about that to death, and if I can be bothered will post some links below.

Extinction Rebellion says ‘we quit’ – why radical eco‑activism has a short shelf life

Attempts to keep the flame alive with Insulate Britain and Just Stop Oil [see Just Stop Oil – anthropologically fascinating but politically terrifying] have not worked. The State has responded, predictably, with ever more draconian laws and judicial smack-downs.

Now and tomorrow?

I think the shituation is truly desperate (duh).  We seem to have wasted the last good chances to get our shit together.  The future looks unutterably bleak, and I mean the near future, not “2050”.  What irritates me the most is that we seem incapable of learning any lessons about anything much. I keep trotting it out, but only because it’s true; if Groundhog Day involved Phil Connors reliving the same day over and over and never learning anything, it would not only be not a comedy, it would be an unwatchable tragedy.

What we could learn

Actual Movement Building is really really hard.  

It’s easy to proclaim, much much harder to do.

See here – Mobilisation versus Actual Movement Building – All Our Yesterdays 

It starts (but does not end) with holding meetings, film showings etc that are actually engaging rather than disempowering for all but the organisers and their acolytes. 

Meetings, Gatherings or… “Fodderings”? 

How I’d design a film showing and discussion | manchester climate monthly 

It continues with figuring out how to share skills, knowledge, to thicken relationships among individuals and groups, especially facing bits of “civil society” that are not explicitly ‘campaign-y/NGO’.

It continues with having functional groups that can sustain themselves, and make common cause on related issues, and identify leverage points where both policy but ALSO broader social/economic/cultural change might take place.

It needs organised labour, but the trouble is many of the existing organisations (trade unions) are horrifically complicit and sclerotic.

Transmission belts of ‘activist tradecraft’ are fragile.

There is a lot of wheel reinvention (this is not to say that Climate Camp was particularly great at designing and facilitating meetings, either internal or public facing.  Some were okay, but for the most part nothing was innovated, learnt, retained, and it was all quite excruciating). But starting from scratch is disastrous.

The pendulum swings

If you aren’t building a group that can survive when the streets empty and the media circus moves on, then you aren’t building anything but your own mausoleum.

The State is far more interested in you than you realise. 

Spycops. Not just a job creation scheme for perverts and sadists. Crucially – that first camp (and the others) was allowed to happen.  The ‘take the site’ thing in 2006 was choreographed by the police, who knew more than enough to stop it, thanks to their undercovers. It was useful to them to allow the Camps in 2006 and 2007 to go ahead.  In 2008 something changed – I don’t know what – maybe the politicians said “enough” or the cops themselves had no more use for the theatre, but they basically stopped it. 

Er, …that’s it. It’s Cocker Protocol Time, people.

I’d be interested to hear other people’s takes on all this, especially folks who were there.


Further reading

I’ve read a few academic articles about climate camp, but none that struck me as either insightful or useful.  So I ain’t linking to them. If you think you have one that’s particularly good, do chime in.

I’ve not been particularly looking for other “what next for the climate movement?” blogs, and if you think you have one that’s particularly good, do chime in.

Meanwhile, my GAIA I have wasted the best (sic) years of my life writing stuff that hardly anybody reads and even fewer try to act on.  Cher, incentive structures and our inevitable doom 

 What a waste. I am genuinely embarrassed for myself. 

Extinction Rebellion says ‘we quit’ – why radical eco-activism has a short shelf life 

“If we don’t tend to our relationships with each other, this isn’t going to work” or DIGGERS!

Feeding the trolls – of XR, ad hominem abuse and the Kool Aid

2019: How we blew it, again | Peace News 

Dear ‘new’ #climate activist. Unsolicited advice, #oldfartclimateadvice 

“There’s a hole in my movement, dear Liza…” (aka “caught in a trap, can’t walk out…”) 

 A coda on AI

This is gibberish.  For the love of Gaia, do not rot your brain (and poison the well of public discourse) by using thirsty plagiarism machines. I implore you.

Categories
Soviet Union United States of America

August 26, 1989- American and Soviet scientists call for  “environmental security alliance” to combat “catastrophic warming”

Thirty-seven years ago, on this day, August 26th,1989,

“Top Soviet and American scientists, environmentalists, policymakers, industry leaders and artists today urged President Bush and President Mikhail S. Gorbachev of the Soviet Union to form an “environmental security alliance” to reverse what they fear could be a catastrophic warming of the planet.”

“The gathering urged that the superpowers promote energy-efficient technology and phase out production and use of clorofluorocarbons no later than the year 2000. The group said the countries should “substantially reduce” carbon dioxide emissions, reduce the loss of forests and promote tree planting world wide. Participants asked that the two leaders appeal directly to their citizens to help.”

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 353ppm. As of 2026, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was that Soviet scientists had been talking about carbon dioxide build-up for as long as American ones, pretty much (it’s only 19th century physics, after all).  

The specific context was that Gorbachev had taken over the boss job in 1985, and his “pereistroika” and “glasnost” quickly ran up against various awkward realities around the culture the Bolsheviks had created, the lagging behind the US etc (so much for “we will bury you”). He was also spectacularly unlucky – Chernobyl basically killed it all off, though the whole thing staggered on for a few more years.  Anyway, in 1988 the Soviet top diplomat had been suggesting a kind of one world Eco-government body. That did not fly, obvs.

What I think we can learn from this is that the scientists knew what was at stake, how quickly action needed to happen.

What happened next  – in the second half of 1991, the Soviet Union finally disintegrated, gone like a fist when you open your palm.  

Meanwhile, the problem of carbon dioxide emissions (it’s broader than that, obvs) continued to grow…

On this topic, you might like these other posts on All Our Yesterdays

Xx

References

Reinhold, R. 1989. Summit of Sorts on Global Warming. New York Times, August 27.

You can see the chronological list of All Our Yesterdays “on this day” posts here.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

If you want to get involved, let me know.

If you want to invite me on your podcast, that would boost my ego and probably improve the currently pitiful hit-rate on this site (the two are not-unrelated).

Also on this day: 

August 26, 1965 “Climatic Change appears to be underway, in fact.” – the 1965 commencement speech that should have rocked the world.

August 26, 1970 The Alkali Inspector’s report

August 26, 1973 – Sir Kingsley Dunham points out the C02 problem

August 26, 1991- We cannot delay says Brundtland

August 26, 2003 – Australian “plan” to save biodiversity

August 26, 2006 – First “Climate Camp” begins

Categories
Australia

 August 26, 1997 – Germans versus Australians…

Twenty-nine years ago, on this day, August 26th, 1997,

The “holier-than-thou” Germans became “very angry” over Australia’s controversial proposals on how the world should fight climate change, according to confidential Federal Government “greenhouse papers” obtained by the Herald.

Hogarth, M. 1997. Germany ‘angry’ On Clean Air Target. Sydney Morning Herald, 26 August, p.7.

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 364ppm. As of 2026, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was that Australia had slipped from being a responsible middle power 1988 to 1990 to an active, very active opponent of climate action.

The specific context was here we see in the run up to the Kyoto Climate Conference, at which rich nations were supposed to bring their plans for significant emissions reductions, as per the Berlin mandate, and the Germans pointing out the facts, which is that the Australians were behaving like utter assholes. Criminal stock indeed.

What I think we can learn from this is that Australian governments since the very early 90s have been criminal. They have disregarded the rights of future generations of humans and other species to anything approaching a habitable planet, and they have done this because they are basically the meat puppets for a bunch of extractivist goons. And you can dress it up however you like, and you can make good money and/or good career in dressing it up, but ultimately you’re dressing it up.

What happened next Australia extorted an extremely generous deal at the Kyoto conference, and then refused to ratify. By the time Australia did ratify the Kyoto Protocol in 2008 it was a dead letter. The balance sheet kept breaking up the sky.

On this topic, you might like these other posts on All Our Yesterdays

Xx

References

xx

You can see the chronological list of All Our Yesterdays “on this day” posts here.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

If you want to get involved, let me know.

If you want to invite me on your podcast, that would boost my ego and probably improve the currently pitiful hit-rate on this site (the two are not-unrelated).

Also on this day: 

August 26, 1965 “Climatic Change appears to be underway, in fact.” – the 1965 commencement speech that should have rocked the world.

August 26, 1970 The Alkali Inspector’s report

August 26, 1973 – Sir Kingsley Dunham points out the C02 problem

August 26, 1991- We cannot delay says Brundtland

August 26, 2003 – Australian “plan” to save biodiversity

August 26, 2006 – First “Climate Camp” begins

Categories
Book Reviews

Book review(s) – “Nobody Is Saved Alone” (on Norminton, Harrison and Butler)

No One Is Saved Alone

The Devil’s Highway (2018) by Gregory Norminton

The Given World (2026) by Melissa Harrison

Parable of the Sower (1993) by Octavia Butler

Cassandra of Troy, the mythical prophetess cursed to be right about the future but never believed, could describe how her city would burn after Odysseus’ clever ruse. But even she escaped the intimate terror of experiencing the collapse from the perspective of multiple characters. Cardiff University researcher Aaron Thierry’s recent PhD thesis, “Cassandra’s Children”, studied the reactions of climate scientists to their Cassandra experience – the unheeded warning, and what that does to the warner. The psychic toll it takes on actual people is not done justice by myths, if Thierry is to be believed.

Reframing stories of climate disaster from a Homeric mythology to a form that puts you right inside the interiority of recognisable characters caught up in it seemed to have defeated literary fiction. Or so Amitav Ghosh wrote in The Great Derangement (2016). Though perhaps reading more Octavia Butler might have cured him of that thought.

Since 2016, several novelists have explicitly taken on Ghosh’s challenge. Some, like Los Angeles-based Stephen Markley, found themselves frantically redrafting as their carefully-researched climate disasters set decades in the future as they happened in real time, forced only by deadline to stop editing his 2023 The Deluge

Greg Norminton’s The Devil’s Highway offers a time-lapse picture of England’s landscape: three exposures of the same place across three thousand years. Bagshot Heath in now-Surrey appears first as Romano-Celt Andagin’s living country, then as a damaged remnant on London’s contemporary fringe, and finally as the “Heave”, a desert crossed by feral post-literate young adult survivors fleeing slavers and drought. The Roman road survives throughout. England itself does not.

This makes Norminton’s novel less a triptych than a descent into drought, of water and mind. Land knowledge steadily drains from the place and its successive cultures. Andagin reads animals, weather and woodland as a field of reciprocal obligations. His Roman occupiers see the same space as something to tame. In the present, Robbie’s archaeological devotion to the heath is already nostalgic: London is visible in the distance, advancing upon England, while pollution, traffic and casual vandalism degrade what remains. The war-traumatised Aitch reads landscape as territory in which wounds can be displaced onto others.

By the future timeline, place has ceased to sustain memory or settlement. The feral young adults know ruins without knowing what ruined them. Their broken English – the audiobook version, partly voiced by the author, does the best justice to that part of the book – compresses history into names. Bagshot becomes “Bad Shot”. Our era the “Fast Times”. We hear how the diminished landscape has diminished their character. They scan the Heave for water, food, shelter and enemy pursuit. Climate collapse is not a luxury belief; it is a reality to be endured. Norminton’s parched England produces lives nasty, brutish, and short – the equal to any in the worst Hobbesian nightmare.

The Given World, set in a plausible but fictional town in a fictional Wessex valley, offers a wetter, more compressed in time, contrast, in exploration of the same themes. Lower Eodham experiences climate derangement in slow motion and parable: seasons lose their metronome, plants fail, animals depart, drought gives way to the River Welm rising in flood. 

Yet Harrison’s valley remains governed by cycles, however violently altered. Water returns to holy springs and even runs over the flagstones of the old priory that now serves as a protagonist’s house; floods destroy, but can also renew. Life is wounded and uncanny rather than finally snuffed out.

The contrast sharpens Norminton’s bleakness. With Harrison, the human tragedies are borne within a more-than-human world still capable of resurgence. Human continuity is doubtful, but life retains agency. 

In The Devil’s Highway, the Roman road endures because the ecology around it does not. The monument outlives the assumptions that built it.

Both books are haunted by London. Norminton gives us the metropolis first as a distant encroachment and later like the shark in Jaws: an offstage threat of disease and lost power from which the future children move west. 

Harrison’s London is less apocalyptic but gravitational. Lower Eodham is partly populated by people who have left the city, seeking an idyll whose seeming permanence the novel starts to dismantle. But flight from London is conscious only up to a point. Characters believe they are escaping noise, failure, danger or an old life. The reality, the novels suggest, is that they are responding to a civilisational pressure they cannot name.

Here both British novels meet Octavia Butler’s Parable of the Sower. Lauren Olamina begins in a walled community on the edge of Los Angeles: an idealised (for post-collapse times) enclave whose security depends upon pretending that the metropolis outside has not already collapsed. Fire and encroaching marauders break the illusion and turn the novel northward. Butler makes plain what Norminton and Harrison leave implied. We are, in the end, all destined to be put on the road by what is to come. But we mostly lack a grammar, a syntax, a language, to describe that before it actually happens. 

That language is spiritual. Butler’s “Earthseed” declares God to be Change. Harrison places “Loyalty to the given world” at her novel’s heart and lets springs, omens, floods and departing local gods disturb the border between the natural world and the sacred. Norminton passes a carved flint through deep time, as gift, talisman and mystery. This may be the most believable of the three.

None of the three offers a Deus-ex-Machina rescue, though each may offer clues of how to navigate in its absence. The offer is not that we will be saved by walls, roads or ownership. Only to receive change without surrendering responsibility. 

Norminton’s, the bleakest by far, stubbornly offers the most raw of all possible redemptive endings, as some characters choose to save another to whom they have no real obligation: none of us is saved alone.

Copyright 2026 Richard Delevan  wickedproblems.earth

Shar pei with opposable thumbs. Climate tech in the streets, crime fiction in the sheets. Around since 327 ppm. Writer, podcaster, strategist. GreenSky, EnergySky. MAGA delenda est. Pronouns: y’all/yer man 

@richard.wickedproblems.earth 

Categories
Australia

August 25, 2006 – Vestas wind farm closes

Twenty years ago, on this day, August 25th, 2006,

By August [2006] Vestas closed Australia’s first wind turbine nacelle factory in Wynard, Tasmania, just two-and-a-half years after it had opened

(Prest, 2007: 253)

AND 

Prime Minister John Howard yesterday blamed market forces for the news.

He has indicated a rescue fund is not yet on the agenda.

“We are looking at that situation, and we continue to talk to the company,” he said. 

https://www.smh.com.au/national/tas-factory-closure-not-feds-fault-pm-20060826-gdo98c.html

Oh, and look, here’s Anthony Albanese making all the right noises.

https://anthonyalbanese.com.au/one-hundred-jobs-lost-because-howard-doesnt-support-clean-energy

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 382ppm. As of 2026, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was that despite Australia having enormous potential as a creator of renewable energy technologies (especially wind and solar), successive governments (Liberal and Labor, state and federal) had not been particularly interested, and sometimes actively hostile (as was the CSIRO) from the 1970s onwards.

The specific context was that John Howard had convened a meeting of his “Low Emissions Technology Advisory Group” to get its members to help him… slow the growth of renewables. 

What I think we can learn from this is that the actions and inactions of politicians matters for the pace at which a new technology enters the fray. And Howard belongs at the Hague.

What happened next – Howard lost the 2007 election, and some support for renewables was then introduced. Lost decades though, and entirely unnecessary carbon dioxide is in the atmosphere now, trapping heat.

References

http://www.abc.net.au/cgi-bin/common/printfriendly.pl?/news/australia/tas/northtas/200608/s1724891.htm

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2006-08-26/business-fears-for-future-after-vesta-shutdown/1248224

You can see the chronological list of All Our Yesterdays “on this day” posts here.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

If you want to get involved, let me know.

If you want to invite me on your podcast, that would boost my ego and probably improve the currently pitiful hit-rate on this site (the two are not-unrelated).

Also on this day: 

August 25, 1933 – South Coast Bulletin reports “Carbon dioxide: climatic influence”

August 25, 1969- “Global Circulation in the Atmosphere” Conference in London

August 25, 1970 – Margaret Mead and James Baldwin rap on race…

August 25, 2013 – The IPA loses support, for being stupid climate deniers.

Categories
United Kingdom

August 24, 1981 – Daily Telegraph : “Floods fear as Earth gets warmer.”

Forty five years ago, on this day, August 24th, 1981,

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 340ppm. As of 2026, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was UK newspapers had been reporting on climate change intermittently since really the late 1960s/early 70s, and the Telegraph, which leaned right, had even had done a puff piece with German meteorologist Herman Flohn around the First World Climate Conference. The Telegraph wasn’t completely batshit at this point.

The specific context was that a study had appeared in Science magazine by James Hansen et al about CO2 build up, and the Telegraph was diligently reporting it. 

What I think we can learn from this is that we shouldn’t judge today’s terrible so-called newspapers, as the metric of what they always were. They have been hollowed out, they have been demented. They were, they were right wing, but serious. You could still learn something from them, I suppose. You still can at the margins if you try really hard. Who’s got the time, though? 

What happened next is that Hansen was punished by the Reagan administration, which took away a grant that had already been disbursed, meaning people lost their jobs, people who had relocated to take jobs. Hansen persisted, of course, and famously gave his testimony in 1988 that it was “time to stop waffling and say that the greenhouse effect was here.” (Well, that wasn’t in his testimony, that was in his comments to journalists afterwards.) The Telegraph began a long, slow, painful slide into utter crass idiocy, not even a shadow of its former self. 

References

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You can see the chronological list of All Our Yesterdays “on this day” posts here.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

If you want to get involved, let me know.

If you want to invite me on your podcast, that would boost my ego and probably improve the currently pitiful hit-rate on this site (the two are not-unrelated).

Also on this day: 

August 24, 1981- “Overlapping effect of atmospheric water, carbon dioxide and ozone….”

August 24, 1989 – a Sydney council takes greenhouse suggestions on-board (or says it will).

August 24, 1992 – Bureaucrats kill greenie-business consensus on climate action

August 24, 1994 – first signs of a split in the anti-climate action business coalition…

Categories
Australia

August 23, 1997- Sydney Morning Herald does some Clintonian wish-casting…

Twenty-nine years ago, on this day, August 23rd, 1997,

United States officials expect Australia’s maverick greenhouse position to be blown away in a “big bang” at the climate change convention in Kyoto, according to confidential reports by Australian diplomats obtained by the Herald…. The documents are confidential internal communications between the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade in Canberra and Australian embassies.

They detail Australia’s desperate globe-trotting efforts to undermine the push for international agreement on binding, uniform targets to reduce greenhouse emissions, initially for developed nations.

In June, for example, one senior Canberra official went to Seoul and promoted the economic benefits of a “free ride” to South Korea – a key developing nation – rather than it having to face the high cost of any future emissions control regime. [Compare Exxon doing the same thing with China]

Hogarth, M. 1997. Why Our Stand On Climate Change Is Doomed. Sydney Morning Herald, 23 August, p.1.

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 364ppm. As of 2026, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was that the US under George H. W. Bush had succeeded in eliminating emissions reductions, targets and timetables for rich countries from the text of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Australia had gone along with that, probably quite happily. The administration under Democrat Bill Clinton had tried to take some energy efficiency conservation action with its BTU tax, and had been soundly defeated. Here we see Clinton at the beginning of his second term, after having given a speech in 1996 at the Great Barrier Reef, beginning to flex muscles ahead of COP 3, which was to be held in Kyoto.

The specific context was that the Australians were pursuing a particularly aggressive line against Australia having any discernible ambitious targets on emissions reductions. This was against the mood music that the Americans, especially under Senator Tim Wirth, as Clinton’s climate envoy were wanting to put forward, so the Clinton gang were talking about how Australia was isolated and would be more isolated and would suffer significant diplomatic consequences for its stance. And for whatever reason, the Sydney Morning Herald was going along with that wish casting. 

What I think we can learn from this – occasionally the mood-music out of Washington is a better form of kayfabe (see, for example, Obama in 2014).

What happened next – Australia got an insanely generous deal at Kyoto, through exasperation and exhaustion at its intransigence.

On this topic, you might like these other posts on All Our Yesterdays

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References

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You can see the chronological list of All Our Yesterdays “on this day” posts here.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

If you want to get involved, let me know.

If you want to invite me on your podcast, that would boost my ego and probably improve the currently pitiful hit-rate on this site (the two are not-unrelated).

Also on this day: 

August 23, 1853 – first International Meteorological Conference

August 23, 1856 – Eunice Foote identifies carbon dioxide as greenhouse gas

August 23, 1971 – nuggets of ecological wisdom from Nugget Coombs.

August 23, 1971 – the Powell Memorandum

August 23, 1989 – Space Mirrors proposed to combat global warming. I am not making this up.

August 23, 2000 – Nick Minchin in gloat mode

August 23, 2002 – Stafford Beer dies

Categories
Australia

August 22, 1991 – Industry Commission report does its job (scuppering climate action)

Thirty five years ago, on this day, August 22nd, 1991,

There would be little point in Australia’s taking unilateral action to reduce greenhouse gases, according to a government report.

International consensus and concerted international action were needed if the greenhouse effect were to be addressed effectively.

The Industry’ Commission report, published today, “Costs and benefits of reducing greenhouse gas emissions”, examines the impact on Australian industry of an international stabilisation of greenhouse gases at 1988 levels by the year 2000 and a 20 per cent reduction in those emissions by the year 2005.

Uhlmann, C. 1991. Australia can’t work alone on greenhouse. Canberra Times, 22 August, p12

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 355ppm. As of 2026, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was that Australian political elites had been warned repeatedly about carbon dioxide build up from the late 60s onwards, and had adopted a wait and see strategy at various points.

The specific context was that in October 1990, in exchange for acceding to Australia, announcing a very hedged interim planning target around the Toronto proposal for a reduction in CO2 emissions of 20% by 2005 Treasurer, then-Treasurer Paul Keating had gotten the promise that the Industry Commission – a quasi-independent gang of growth-oriented intellectual thugs – would look at the greenhouse issue in the context of Australia’s economic performance.

By the time of the industry commission’s report coming out, Keating had quit government because Bob Hawke had reneged on a promise to step down in favour of Keating after the 1990 election, and was lurking on the back benches, biding his time. Graham Richardson, who had been Environment Minister, and then was butt hurt when he didn’t get the defence job he wanted was Keating’s leadership organiser (66 to 44 and “it’s enough”).

The Industry Commission report said the predictable things, and was a useful stick to beat advocates of action with because it was ostensibly independent and we were told that action was unnecessary and would be expensive blah blah blah – the usual. 

What I think we can learn from this is that there is always one of these “don’t panic, no one needs to upset the applecart” reports coming out. Some work, some don’t.

What happened next Keating succeeded in toppling. Hawke in December 1991 and then Keating basically set fire to everything environmental that Hawke had proposed, including climate actions and Keating, in order to cover his ass, allowed waste minimization and recycling to stand in for actual policy.

On this topic, you might like these other posts on All Our Yesterdays

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References

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You can see the chronological list of All Our Yesterdays “on this day” posts here.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

If you want to get involved, let me know.

If you want to invite me on your podcast, that would boost my ego and probably improve the currently pitiful hit-rate on this site (the two are not-unrelated).

Also on this day: 

August 22, 1960 – JFK says “we must climb to the hilltop”

August 22, 1981 – New York Times front page story costs #climate scientists their jobs.

August 22, 1987 – “Civilisation and Rapid Climate Change” – a short book…

August 22, 1988 – scientists say “Australia, expect #climate refugees”

August 22, 2000 – Minchin kills an Australian Emissions Trading Scheme

August 22, 2011 – anti-carbon pricing rally flops

Categories
Australia Renewable energy

August 21, 2000 – Renewables boast a hoax

Twenty six years ago, on this day, August 21st, 2000,

One of the Federal Government’s key boasts on greenhouse gases that it is legislating so electricity suppliers must increase their power from renewable sources by 2 per cent by 2010 has been called a hoax.

According to industry estimates, growth is occurring at that rate anyway.

And the Opposition has been criticised for signalling that it will pass the Government’s Renewable Energy Bill in its present form, which allows burning wood from native forests to create energy to be taken into account in determining whether the target has been met.

At present, 10.7 per cent of the country’s energy comes from renewable sources. The bill would lift that to 12.7 per cent by 2010. The bill, which also applies to major electricity buyers, such as the aluminium industry, will go to the Senate later this month.

The Australian Conservation Foundation yesterday accused Dr Sharman Stone, parliamentary secretary to the Environment Minister, Senator Hill, of issuing a misleading media release. It had said wind farms, solar-driven manufacturing, tidal power and energy from methane were “destined to become a growing part of Australia’s energy options” because of the legislation.

“This is the great renewable hoax,” the foundation’s campaign director, Mr John Connor, said. “It will be woodchip-driven stuff, and there’s basic problems … legislation which just won’t drive the kind of industries [we should] base the economy on.”

Clennell, A. 2000. Government Greenhouse Gases Boast A Hoax, Says Environmental Group. Sydney Morning Herald, August 22, p.8.

The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was 370ppm. As of 2026, when this post was published, it is 430ppm. This matters because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the more heat gets trapped. The more heat, the more extreme weather events. You can make it more complicated than that if you want, but really, it’s not. Fwiw, I have a tattoo of the Keeling Curve on my left forearm.

The broader context was that Australian governments, state and federal, had intermittently made supportive noises in the general direction of renewables, but had usually not provided funding or significant financial incentives. My favourite example is how in 1994-95 a proposal for a carbon tax where some of the profits were hypothecated towards research and development of renewables was shot down by opponents within the Labor Party before it got to cabinet. 

The specific context was in 1997 ahead of the Kyoto conference, Liberal Party Prime Minister John Howard had, with some fanfare, produced a Safeguarding the Future policy, which included a promise of a 2% renewables per target for Australian electricity provision. Howard then slow-walked the policy implementation, so that it became a much smaller amount, and here we see various environmental groups pointing this out for all the good it did. 

What I think we can learn from this is that at time of writing or narrating, John Howard is still alive, and there is still time to get him to The Hague on charges of crimes against humanity and other species, and he has very little defence, And standing next to him in the dock should be Paul Keating, Kevin Rudd, Tony Abbott, Malcolm Turnbull, Scott Morrison, and most of all Anthony Albanese, Julia Gillard squeaks her way out by the skin of her teeth, but as well as these meat puppets, lots of industry figures whose names we barely know should also be in the dock as well and this will not happen.

What happened next LETAG. Vestas (LINKS)

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On this topic, you might like these other posts on All Our Yesterdays

Xx

References

xx

You can see the chronological list of All Our Yesterdays “on this day” posts here.

What do you think? Does this pass the ‘so what?’ threshold? Have I got facts wrong? Interpretation wrong? Please do comment on this post, unless you are a denialist, obvs.

If you want to get involved, let me know.

If you want to invite me on your podcast, that would boost my ego and probably improve the currently pitiful hit-rate on this site (the two are not-unrelated).

Also on this day: 

August 21, 1961 – The UN holds a “new sources of energy” conference

August 21, 1972 – Nature editor John Maddox says C02-temperature fear “found wanting”

August 21, 1986 – Lake Nyos disaster

August 21, 2004 – The Australian reports on Howard cabinet split over ETS

Categories
United Kingdom

Burnham and Tice – what substantive difference, besides some hand-wringing?

I’m writing this as rain delays my departure for town. It is some of the first rain in months, and welcome.

Summer will end, and when it does, Prime Minister Andy Burnham will – I suspect – give the approval to one or both of the oil and gas projects that the extractors are currently salivating over.

It will be wrapped up in all sorts of casuistry, all sorts of presentational gimmicks (see my speculations on those – and the responses – here).

I could be wrong, the man may surprise me. We shall see.

Let’s assume he doesn’t. To me, then, the question is what is the real, the fundamental difference, on climate change, between him and Richard Tice of Reform, who recently said we should basically lie back and enjoy it?

What’s the difference? Anyone?

Sure, Burnham will look suitably sad, and perhaps even hug a few people whose homes have burned to the ground. He may loot the aid budget further to do some band-aid stuff in constituencies where some of his favourite MPs are vulnerable to a Green Surge.

But step back, think slightly longer term, bigger burning picture – what will the difference between him and Tice actually be?

Who knows, maybe this post will age like a glass of milk in a heatwave. Or maybe it’s the Burnham bounce that is the glass of milk…

See also

https://www.thedailymash.co.uk/politics/richard-tices-guide-to-sitting-back-and-enjoying-a-wildfire-20260818268736